特立尼达和多巴哥鱼菜共生:推进可持续农业,实现低碳经济

Don Charles
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摘要

特立尼达和多巴哥(T&T)是食品净进口国。因此,该国容易受到高粮价、高粮食进口和粮食不安全的影响。这些问题可以通过在当地发展水培产业来解决。此外,水培提供了一个可持续的解决方案,因为它鼓励节约用水,并消除了对合成肥料的需求,合成肥料在生产过程中产生大量温室气体(ghg)排放。本研究之目的在于分析及预测台湾的食品进口,并探讨台湾发展鱼菜共生产业的技术及经济政策要求。根据经验模态分解(EMD)-人工神经网路(ANN)预测,台湾食品进口将增加,到第12个月将达到1,224,329,616.27泰铢。就经济框架而言,T&T的鱼菜共生产业发展的主要障碍似乎是前期成本。要建立一个专业的水培农场,维持鱼类和植物产品的供应,农民必须承担前期资本成本。如果把温室的成本算在内,农民可能需要长达6年的时间才能收回成本,然后才能盈利。因此,需要政府的支持来减轻农民的成本负担。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Aquaponics for Trinidad and Tobago: Advancing Sustainable Farming for Low-carbon Economy
Trinidad and Tobago (T&T) is a net importer of food. Thus, the country is vulnerable to high food prices, high food imports, and food insecurity. These problems can be addressed through the development of the aquaponics industry locally. Moreover, aquaponics offers a sustainable solution as it encourages the conservation of water, and eliminates the need for synthetic fertilizer, which generates high greenhouse gas (GHGs) emissions in its production process. The objectives of this study are to analyze and forecast T&T’s food imports, and to examine the technical and economic policy requirements for an aquaponics industry in T&T. An Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD)-Artificial Neural Network (ANN) forecast of T&T’s food imports suggests that T&T’s food imports will increase, and by month 12 to will be TT$1,224,329,616.27. With regards to the economic framework, the major obstacle to the development of T&T’s aquaponics industry appears to be the upfront costs. To establish a professional aquaponics farm that maintains supplies of fish and plant produce, the farmer must incur an upfront capital cost. If the cost of the greenhouse is included, it can take a farmer up to 6 years to recover this cost before they earn a profit. Therefore, government support is required to alleviate this cost burden for farmers.
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