Anna Rita Bacinello , Rosario Maggistro , Ivan Zoccolan
{"title":"可变年金中GLWB骑手的风险中性估值","authors":"Anna Rita Bacinello , Rosario Maggistro , Ivan Zoccolan","doi":"10.1016/j.insmatheco.2023.10.001","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p><span>In this paper we propose a model for pricing GLWB variable annuities under a stochastic mortality framework. Our set-up is very general and only requires the Markovian property<span> for the mortality intensity and the asset price processes. The contract value is defined through an optimization problem which is solved by using dynamic programming. We prove, by backward induction, the validity of the bang-bang condition for the set of discrete withdrawal strategies of the model. This result is particularly remarkable as in the insurance literature either the existence of optimal bang-bang controls is assumed or it requires suitable conditions. We assume constant </span></span>interest rates, although our results still hold in the case of a Markovian interest rate process. We present extensive numerical examples, modelling the mortality intensity as a non mean reverting square root process and the asset price as an exponential Lévy process, and compare the results obtained for different parameters and policyholder behaviours.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54974,"journal":{"name":"Insurance Mathematics & Economics","volume":"114 ","pages":"Pages 1-14"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9000,"publicationDate":"2023-11-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Risk-neutral valuation of GLWB riders in variable annuities\",\"authors\":\"Anna Rita Bacinello , Rosario Maggistro , Ivan Zoccolan\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.insmatheco.2023.10.001\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p><span>In this paper we propose a model for pricing GLWB variable annuities under a stochastic mortality framework. Our set-up is very general and only requires the Markovian property<span> for the mortality intensity and the asset price processes. The contract value is defined through an optimization problem which is solved by using dynamic programming. We prove, by backward induction, the validity of the bang-bang condition for the set of discrete withdrawal strategies of the model. This result is particularly remarkable as in the insurance literature either the existence of optimal bang-bang controls is assumed or it requires suitable conditions. We assume constant </span></span>interest rates, although our results still hold in the case of a Markovian interest rate process. We present extensive numerical examples, modelling the mortality intensity as a non mean reverting square root process and the asset price as an exponential Lévy process, and compare the results obtained for different parameters and policyholder behaviours.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":54974,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Insurance Mathematics & Economics\",\"volume\":\"114 \",\"pages\":\"Pages 1-14\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-11-09\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Insurance Mathematics & Economics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167668723000860\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Insurance Mathematics & Economics","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167668723000860","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Risk-neutral valuation of GLWB riders in variable annuities
In this paper we propose a model for pricing GLWB variable annuities under a stochastic mortality framework. Our set-up is very general and only requires the Markovian property for the mortality intensity and the asset price processes. The contract value is defined through an optimization problem which is solved by using dynamic programming. We prove, by backward induction, the validity of the bang-bang condition for the set of discrete withdrawal strategies of the model. This result is particularly remarkable as in the insurance literature either the existence of optimal bang-bang controls is assumed or it requires suitable conditions. We assume constant interest rates, although our results still hold in the case of a Markovian interest rate process. We present extensive numerical examples, modelling the mortality intensity as a non mean reverting square root process and the asset price as an exponential Lévy process, and compare the results obtained for different parameters and policyholder behaviours.
期刊介绍:
Insurance: Mathematics and Economics publishes leading research spanning all fields of actuarial science research. It appears six times per year and is the largest journal in actuarial science research around the world.
Insurance: Mathematics and Economics is an international academic journal that aims to strengthen the communication between individuals and groups who develop and apply research results in actuarial science. The journal feels a particular obligation to facilitate closer cooperation between those who conduct research in insurance mathematics and quantitative insurance economics, and practicing actuaries who are interested in the implementation of the results. To this purpose, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics publishes high-quality articles of broad international interest, concerned with either the theory of insurance mathematics and quantitative insurance economics or the inventive application of it, including empirical or experimental results. Articles that combine several of these aspects are particularly considered.