捕捉工艺背后的科学:一个报告框架,以提高非模拟模型的质量和信心

IF 1.7 3区 管理学 Q3 MANAGEMENT
Benjamin L. Turner, Michael Goodman
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引用次数: 0

摘要

定性非模拟模型(因果循环图、库存-流量图或两者的混合)在系统动力学(SD)诞生后的十年内就开始使用。在这篇文章中,我们断言,非模拟模型的众所周知的弱点需要与非模拟模型提供的上下文、目的和优势相平衡。我们提出了一个框架,由一组用于模型报告和文档的最佳实践组成,这将提高非模拟模型的质量、一致性和透明度。在框架中描述和引用了几个高质量的例子,以说明对每个标准的支持。该框架的目的是帮助提高非模拟模型创建和评估的透明度,从而增强它们在SD实践中的信心和合法使用。最终,高质量的非模拟模型可以为可能从未接触过正式的SD模拟模型的受众提供更广泛的SD知识体系。©2023系统动力学学会。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Capturing the science behind the craft: a reporting framework to improve quality and confidence in nonsimulated models
Abstract Qualitative nonsimulated models (causal loop diagrams, stock‐flow diagrams, or hybrids of both) have been used since within a decade after the inception of system dynamics (SD). In this article, we assert that the well‐known weaknesses of nonsimulated models need to be balanced against the contexts, purposes, and strengths that nonsimulated models provide. We propose a framework consisting of a set of best practices for model reporting and documentation that would improve the quality, consistency, and transparency of nonsimulated models. Several high‐quality examples are described and referenced in the framework to illustrate support of each criterion. The framework's purpose is help improve the transparency around the creation and evaluation of nonsimulated models, thereby enhancing their confidence and legitimate use in SD practice. Ultimately, high‐quality nonsimulated models can offer broader access to the powerful body of SD knowledge to audiences likely never to have access to formal SD simulation models. © 2023 System Dynamics Society.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.60
自引率
8.30%
发文量
22
期刊介绍: The System Dynamics Review exists to communicate to a wide audience advances in the application of the perspectives and methods of system dynamics to societal, technical, managerial, and environmental problems. The Review publishes: advances in mathematical modelling and computer simulation of dynamic feedback systems; advances in methods of policy analysis based on information feedback and circular causality; generic structures (dynamic feedback systems that support particular widely applicable behavioural insights); system dynamics contributions to theory building in the social and natural sciences; policy studies and debate emphasizing the role of feedback and circular causality in problem behaviour.
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