Rinse Wilmink, Robert McCall, Robbin Van Santen, Niels van Kuik, Stefan Pluis, Anouk de Bakker, Henk Steetzel
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引用次数: 0
摘要
沙丘和海滩保护着荷兰海岸的大片地区免受海水的侵袭。根据荷兰水法的规定,荷兰沙丘海岸定期进行评估,以确保腹地的洪水风险处于可接受的水平。这种安全评估方法目前正在BOI项目(防洪评估和设计工具)的框架内进行更新,以利用基于过程的风暴影响模型XBeach取代经验沙丘侵蚀模型DUROS+。该项目包括六个步骤:1。2. XBeach模型制定改进与模型稳健性;3. XBeach校准4. XBeach验证;荷兰海岸半概率模型输入的推导;6.故障定义的推导;在更新的洪水风险评估框架中实施XBeach (Wilmink et al., 2020)。该项目的主要目标是通过实施XBeach作为沙丘侵蚀模型,提高荷兰沙丘洪水风险评估的准确性,并为评估框架开发一个用户友好的GUI和指南。
XBEACH IMPLEMENTATION IN THE NEW NATIONAL COASTAL FLOOD RISK ASSESSMENT FRAMEWORK FOR THE DUTCH COAST
Dunes and beaches protect large stretches of the Dutch coast against flooding from the sea. As prescribed by the Dutch Water Law, the Dutch dune coast is periodically assessed to ensure an acceptable level of flood risk in the hinterland. This safety assessment methodology is currently being renewed within the framework of the BOI program (Assessment and Design Instruments for flood defenses) to utilize the process-based storm impact model XBeach as replacement of the empirical dune erosion model DUROS+. The project consists of six steps: 1. XBeach model formulation improvements and model robustness, 2. XBeach calibration, 3. XBeach validation, 4. derivation of semi-probabilistic model input for the Dutch coast, 5. derivation of a failure definition and 6. implementing XBeach in a renewed flood risk assessment framework (Wilmink et al., 2020). The main goal of the project is to increase the accuracy of the flood risk assessment of dunes in the Netherlands by implementing XBeach as dune erosion model and develop a user-friendly GUI and guideline for the assessment framework.