减持新调控政策下中国AH股联动的影响因素

IF 0.6 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Yuping Song, Zhenwei Li, Guopeng Jin, Jiefei Huang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

AH股票溢价及其价格联动一直是学者和投资者关注的关键问题。本文以AH股票的股价收益率为解释变量,采用面板分位模型,从风险差异、流动性差异、需求弹性差异、信息不对称、减持新调控政策等五个方面探讨AH股票价格的联动机制。由于羊群效应,信息不对称在收益和损失区间对h股收益率有负影响,在稳定区间有正影响。流动性差异对h股收益率的负影响在亏损区间转化为收益区间的正影响,但在高风险区域最为敏感。需求弹性对h股收益率的影响表现为中国股市“追高杀低”或“买高买低”的典型特征。风险偏好者和风险厌恶者的行为相互抵消,导致风险差异不明显。新规引入2017年减持,显著降低了h股的股价收益率。最后,本文对投资者投资AH股和规避风险提出了一些建议,并根据这些结果对金融监管机构提出了一些具体的政策启示。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
On the influencing factors of AH shares linkage in China under new regulation policy of reduction
AH stock premium and its price linkage have always been the key problems of concern for scholars and investors. Taking the stock price yield of AH stock as the explanatory variable, this paper adopts the panel quantile model to probe into the linkage mechanism of AH stock price from five aspects such as risk difference, liquidity difference, demand elasticity difference, information asymmetry and new regulation policy of reduction. Due to the herding effect, information asymmetry has a negative effect on the H-share yield in the income and loss intervals, and a positive effect in the stable interval. The negative effect of liquidity difference on the H-share yield in the loss interval is converted into the positive effect in the income interval, but it is the most sensitive in high risk areas. The influence of demand elasticity on H-share yield is characterized by the typical characteristics of Chinese stock market “chasing after go up and killing cheapen” or “buying the winners”. Risk difference is not obvious because the behavior of risk lover and risk averter is offset by each other. The introduction of a 2017-year reduction in the new rules has significantly reduced the share price yield of H-shares. Finally, some suggestions are put forward for investors to invest and avoid risk in AH stocks and some specific policy implications for financial regulators are also provided based on these results.
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