民意调查方法与社会学方法进行选举研究

Vitalii KRYVOSHEIN
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引用次数: 0

摘要

这项研究的目的是考虑民意调查和社会学方法对选举研究的利弊。这篇文章表明,在现代竞选活动中进行选举研究是由民意测验专家(纯粹出于政治目的)和社会学(出于科学和社会学目的)技术平等地进行的。事实证明,将民意测验和社会学方法结合起来进行选举研究可以取得最佳结果。人们决定,今天组织一场有效的竞选活动同样需要社会学家——民意测验专家和社会学家——分析师,他们的工作结果分别是收集的经验数据和分析的产物——科学专业知识。事实证明,进行选举研究的民意测验专家和社会学方法不仅在民意概念和研究风格上有所不同,而且在主题领域上也有所不同。选民作为选举研究的主体,其研究方法不同,内容也不同。民意测验专家的方法更有可能把选民理解为一个选民圈,他们投票给一个或另一个政党或候选人竞选一个选举职位,事实上,他们是某种政治力量或个性的支持者,而社会学方法的代表大多认为选民是所有公民的集合,他们被赋予投票权,他们在特定的条件下行使或不行使投票权。有人认为,将选举投票和选举社会学研究的主题领域结合起来,可以在竞选活动中更有效和更有成效地利用分析潜力,因为这种赞助工作的组织不仅有助于记录选举研究的结果,而且有助于预测选举选择的趋势、选票的流动、选举团体对具体政治事件的反应。有系统地了解选民的类型和他们的个人概况,将有助于有意义地了解选民。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
POLLSTER APPROACH VERSUS SOCIOLOGICAL APPROACH TO CONDUCTING ELECTORAL RESEARCH
The purpose of the study is to consider the advantages and disadvantages of pollster and sociological approaches to electoral research.The article shows that conducting electoral research in modern election campaigns is carried out equally by pollster (for purely political purposes) and sociological (for scientific and sociological purposes) technologies. It has been proven that optimal results can be achieved by combining pollster and sociological approaches to electoral research. It was determined that today the organization of an effective election campaign requires equally sociologists-pollsters and sociologists-analysts, the result of whose work is respectively collected empirical data and an analytical product, scientific expertise.It has been demonstrated that pollster and sociological approaches to conducting electoral research differ not only in the concepts of public opinion and the styles of its research, but also in the subject field. The electorate as a subject of electoral research acquires different content for different approaches. The pollster approach is more likely to understand the electorate as a circle of voters who vote for one or another party or candidate for an elected position and, in fact, are supporters of a certain political force or personality, while representatives of the sociological approach mostly consider the electorate as a collection of all citizens who vested with the right to vote and who exercise or do not exercise it under specially created conditions. It is argued that the integration of the subject fields of electoral polling and electoral sociological research will allow more effective and productive use of analytical potential in the election campaign, since such an organization of patronage work will help not only to record the results of electoral research, but also to predict the trends of electoral choice, the flow of votes, the reactions of electoral groups to specific political events. The availability of systematic ideas about the types of voters and their personal profiles will help to meaningfully approach the understanding of the electorate.
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