基于区块链的神经网络模型的短期电力需求预测

Q4 Computer Science
Ruohan Wang, Yunlong Chen, Entang Li, Hongwei Xing, Jianhui Zhang, Jing Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着区块链技术的快速发展,基于区块链的神经网络短期电力需求预测已成为电力行业的研究热点。本文旨在将神经网络算法与区块链技术相结合,建立一个可信、高效的短期需求预测模型。利用区块链的分布式账本和不变性特性,确保电力需求数据的安全性和可靠性。同时,利用神经网络进行短期电力需求预测研究,有可能提高电力系统的稳定性,并为改进运行提供机会。本文采用均方根误差模型评价指标对BP神经网络算法与传统预测算法进行比较。对随机选取的5个家庭用电数据集进行评价。结果表明,通过对长短期记忆网络(LSTM)模型与BP神经网络模型的比较,确定在电力需求稳定的情况下,平均预测影响提高了25.7%左右。BP神经网络短期电力预测模型的平均误差值比传统预测模型低2倍以上。结果表明,BP神经网络算法与区块链的结合可以提高短期电力需求预测的准确性,使基于神经网络的算法在短期电力需求预测研究中得以实现和考虑。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Short-Term Power Demand Forecasting Using Blockchain-Based Neural Networks Models
With the rapid development of blockchain technology, blockchain-based neural network short-term power demand forecasting has become a research hot spot in the power industry. This paper aims to combine neural network algorithms with blockchain technology to establish a trustworthy and efficient short-term demand forecasting model. By leveraging the distributed ledger and immutability features of blockchain, we ensure the security and reliability of power demand data. Meanwhile, short-term power demand forecasting research using neural networks has the potential to increase the stability of the power system and offer opportunities for improved operations. In this paper, the root mean-square-error model evaluation indicator was used to compare the back propagation (BP) neural network algorithm and the traditional forecasting algorithm. The evaluation was performed on the randomly selected five household power datasets. The results show that, by comparing the long short-term memory network (LSTM) model with the BP neural network model, it was determined that the average prediction impact increases by about 25.7% under stable power demand. The short-term power prediction model of the BP neural network has the average error values more than two times lower than the traditional prediction model. It was shown that the use of the BP neural network algorithm and blockchain could increase the accuracy of short-term power demand forecasting, allowing the neural network-based algorithm to be implemented and taken into account in the research on short-term power demand forecasting.
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来源期刊
Journal of Computing and Information Technology
Journal of Computing and Information Technology Computer Science-Computer Science (all)
CiteScore
0.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
16
审稿时长
26 weeks
期刊介绍: CIT. Journal of Computing and Information Technology is an international peer-reviewed journal covering the area of computing and information technology, i.e. computer science, computer engineering, software engineering, information systems, and information technology. CIT endeavors to publish stimulating accounts of original scientific work, primarily including research papers on both theoretical and practical issues, as well as case studies describing the application and critical evaluation of theory. Surveys and state-of-the-art reports will be considered only exceptionally; proposals for such submissions should be sent to the Editorial Board for scrutiny. Specific areas of interest comprise, but are not restricted to, the following topics: theory of computing, design and analysis of algorithms, numerical and symbolic computing, scientific computing, artificial intelligence, image processing, pattern recognition, computer vision, embedded and real-time systems, operating systems, computer networking, Web technologies, distributed systems, human-computer interaction, technology enhanced learning, multimedia, database systems, data mining, machine learning, knowledge engineering, soft computing systems and network security, computational statistics, computational linguistics, and natural language processing. Special attention is paid to educational, social, legal and managerial aspects of computing and information technology. In this respect CIT fosters the exchange of ideas, experience and knowledge between regions with different technological and cultural background, and in particular developed and developing ones.
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