重新审视2022年中国四川泸定6.8级地震周围断层的地震危险性

IF 4.5 3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Yujiang Li, Haoqing Liu, Cheng Yang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2022年9月5日泸定6.8级地震的发生填补了鲜水河断裂带东南段的地震空白,并将应力传递给周围的断层,引起了人们对地震危险性的关注。本研究计算了泸定6.8级地震引起的同震库仑应力变化,并分析了其与重新定位余震的关系,进一步探讨了泸定地震前的应力演化以及震后对周边断层的地震危害。结果表明,安宁河断裂带北部和鲜水河断裂带东南部同震未破裂段库仑应力显著增加。余震与同震库仑应力正变化高度相关,其中11次M≥3.0级余震中有8次发生在应力显著增加的区域,范围在0.03 MPa ~ 0.44 MPa之间,说明余震具有触发作用。1515年以来的历史7.0级以上强震使莫西断裂经历了同震和震后库仑应力变化,有助于理解泸定地震的发震机制。泸定地震将安宁河断裂带北段的潜在地震提前了约60年,进一步凸显了该断裂带的潜在地震危险性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Revisiting the seismic hazards of faults surrounding the 2022 Ms6.8 Luding earthquake, Sichuan, China
The occurrence of the Ms6.8 Luding earthquake on 5 September 2022 filled the seismic gap in the southeastern segment of the Xianshuihe fault zone and transferred stress to the surrounding faults, which attracted much more attention to the seismic hazard. In this study, we calculate the coseismic Coulomb stress changes caused by the Ms6.8 Luding earthquake and analyze its relationship with the relocated aftershocks, and further explore the stress evolution before the Luding earthquake and seismic hazards on the surrounding faults after it. The results show significant coseismic Coulomb stress increases in the northern Anninghe fault zone and the coseismic unruptured section of the southeastern Xianshuihe fault zone. Aftershocks are highly correlated with the positive coseismic Coulomb stress change, wherein eight out of eleven aftershocks of M ≥ 3.0 occurred in areas with significant stress increases ranging from 0.03 MPa to 0.44 MPa, indicating the triggering effect. The Moxi fault experiences co- and post-seismic Coulomb stress changes due to historical M ≥ 7.0 strong earthquakes since 1515, which help understand the seismogenic mechanism of the Luding earthquake. Moreover, the Luding earthquake advanced the potential earthquakes in the northern section of the Anninghe fault zone by approximately 60 years, further highlighting the potential seismic hazards.
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来源期刊
Geomatics Natural Hazards & Risk
Geomatics Natural Hazards & Risk GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
CiteScore
7.70
自引率
4.80%
发文量
117
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The aim of Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk is to address new concepts, approaches and case studies using geospatial and remote sensing techniques to study monitoring, mapping, risk mitigation, risk vulnerability and early warning of natural hazards. Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk covers the following topics: - Remote sensing techniques - Natural hazards associated with land, ocean, atmosphere, land-ocean-atmosphere coupling and climate change - Emerging problems related to multi-hazard risk assessment, multi-vulnerability risk assessment, risk quantification and the economic aspects of hazards. - Results of findings on major natural hazards
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