{"title":"赌徒破产博弈持续时间的随机排序结果","authors":"Shoou-Ren Hsiau, Yi-Ching Yao","doi":"10.1017/jpr.2023.62","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Abstract In the classical gambler’s ruin problem, the gambler plays an adversary with initial capitals z and $a-z$ , respectively, where $a>0$ and $0< z < a$ are integers. At each round, the gambler wins or loses a dollar with probabilities p and $1-p$ . The game continues until one of the two players is ruined. For even a and $0<z\\leq {a}/{2}$ , the family of distributions of the duration (total number of rounds) of the game indexed by $p \\in [0,{\\frac{1}{2}}]$ is shown to have monotone (increasing) likelihood ratio, while for ${a}/{2} \\leq z<a$ , the family of distributions of the duration indexed by $p \\in [{\\frac{1}{2}}, 1]$ has monotone (decreasing) likelihood ratio. In particular, for $z={a}/{2}$ , in terms of the likelihood ratio order, the distribution of the duration is maximized over $p \\in [0,1]$ by $p={\\frac{1}{2}}$ . The case of odd a is also considered in terms of the usual stochastic order. Furthermore, as a limit, the first exit time of Brownian motion is briefly discussed.","PeriodicalId":50256,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Applied Probability","volume":"69 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.7000,"publicationDate":"2023-10-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Stochastic ordering results on the duration of the gambler’s ruin game\",\"authors\":\"Shoou-Ren Hsiau, Yi-Ching Yao\",\"doi\":\"10.1017/jpr.2023.62\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Abstract In the classical gambler’s ruin problem, the gambler plays an adversary with initial capitals z and $a-z$ , respectively, where $a>0$ and $0< z < a$ are integers. At each round, the gambler wins or loses a dollar with probabilities p and $1-p$ . The game continues until one of the two players is ruined. For even a and $0<z\\\\leq {a}/{2}$ , the family of distributions of the duration (total number of rounds) of the game indexed by $p \\\\in [0,{\\\\frac{1}{2}}]$ is shown to have monotone (increasing) likelihood ratio, while for ${a}/{2} \\\\leq z<a$ , the family of distributions of the duration indexed by $p \\\\in [{\\\\frac{1}{2}}, 1]$ has monotone (decreasing) likelihood ratio. In particular, for $z={a}/{2}$ , in terms of the likelihood ratio order, the distribution of the duration is maximized over $p \\\\in [0,1]$ by $p={\\\\frac{1}{2}}$ . The case of odd a is also considered in terms of the usual stochastic order. Furthermore, as a limit, the first exit time of Brownian motion is briefly discussed.\",\"PeriodicalId\":50256,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Applied Probability\",\"volume\":\"69 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-10-06\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Applied Probability\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1017/jpr.2023.62\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Applied Probability","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1017/jpr.2023.62","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Stochastic ordering results on the duration of the gambler’s ruin game
Abstract In the classical gambler’s ruin problem, the gambler plays an adversary with initial capitals z and $a-z$ , respectively, where $a>0$ and $0< z < a$ are integers. At each round, the gambler wins or loses a dollar with probabilities p and $1-p$ . The game continues until one of the two players is ruined. For even a and $0
期刊介绍:
Journal of Applied Probability is the oldest journal devoted to the publication of research in the field of applied probability. It is an international journal published by the Applied Probability Trust, and it serves as a companion publication to the Advances in Applied Probability. Its wide audience includes leading researchers across the entire spectrum of applied probability, including biosciences applications, operations research, telecommunications, computer science, engineering, epidemiology, financial mathematics, the physical and social sciences, and any field where stochastic modeling is used.
A submission to Applied Probability represents a submission that may, at the Editor-in-Chief’s discretion, appear in either the Journal of Applied Probability or the Advances in Applied Probability. Typically, shorter papers appear in the Journal, with longer contributions appearing in the Advances.