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引用次数: 0
摘要
本文分析了蒙代尔-弗莱明(M - F)模型中设定的财政政策含义及其在新兴经济体中的有效性。它还扩大了替代汇率政策组合的范围。关于智利(1991-2003年)和哥伦比亚(1994-2004年)经济、制度、财政政策规则和欧元区条件(1999年)的经验证据被认为是相关的。本文分为三个部分:a.预算盈余财政政策规则和政策有效性;b.制度在制定政策规则中的作用;c. M - F框架下智利和哥伦比亚经济关于财政政策规则的经验。主要结论是,只要国家风险因反周期财政政策规则而降低,政府就有以较低国际利率获得资金的替代手段。财政政策对GDP(产出)的影响为正。
The Mundell‑Fleming Model and Macroeconomic Stabilization Policies
This paper analyzes the fiscal policy implications set in the Mundell‑Fleming (M‑F) model and its effectiveness in emerging economies. It also widens the scope of the policy mix with alternative exchange rates. The empirical evidence about the economies of Chile (1991–2003) and Colombia (1994–2004), about institutions, fiscal policy rule, and the eurozone conditions (1999), were considered relevant The paper has three sections a. The budget‑surplus fiscal policy rule and policy effectiveness, b. The role of institutions in setting policy rules, c. The experience of the Chilean and Colombian economies concerning fiscal policy rules within the M‑F framework. The main conclusion is that as long as country risk is lower due to countercyclical fiscal policy rules, governments have an alternative means of getting funds at a lower international interest rate. The fiscal policy effect on GDP (output)becomes positive.