区域一级预算资金使用有效性的比较分析

E. A. Rechkina, A. M. Terekhov, Zh. G. Popkova
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引用次数: 0

摘要

研究的目的。本文的目的是以下诺夫哥罗德和莫尔-曼斯克地区的预算为例,评估区域预算支出使用的有效性。材料和方法。一般的科学方法包括:分析、综合、概括、分类;具体的科学方法有:动力学分析、相关回归分析、神经网络建模。本研究的信息库包括俄罗斯联邦联邦预算执行指数(来自俄罗斯联邦财政部的信息)和各地区相关法律公布的地区预算;俄罗斯国家统计局公布的统计数据。该研究方法的新颖之处在于将传统的经济数学方法与科布-道格拉斯生产函数相结合。这一事实为评估预算支出对决定公共产品产量的个别生产要素的影响提供了机会。本文提出了基于规范方法和项目目标方法的预算规划有效性的比较评估。结果。人们发现,摩尔曼斯克地区预算资金的使用比下诺夫哥罗德地区更有效。在该地区,从2019年开始,制定针对方案的预算规划方法的任务优先级有所降低,但由于合理管理预算债务,该地区在预算资金使用方面取得了较高的效率。摩尔曼斯克州预算的特点是债务负担大幅减少,这降低了公共债务偿还成本的份额,到2021年底,公共债务与地区预算支出的比率接近于零。研究表明,预算支出对资本要素增长有显著的正向影响。与此同时,预算支出的增长对劳动力要素发展的负面影响更大。研究发现,在采用计划-目标法时,多项计划支出对地区劳动力增长有正向影响,但影响程度不显著。结论。在研究过程中,作者得出结论,摩尔曼斯克地区使用预算资金的效率高于下诺夫哥罗德地区。这种情况表明,公共债务管理的质量因素对预算资金使用效率的影响比预算规划方案-目标方法的应用因素的影响更大。所进行的研究结果可能对负责规划和预算的政府机构有用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Comparative Analysis of the Effectiveness of the Budget Funds Use at the Regional Level
The purpose of the study. The purpose of the paper is to assess the effectiveness of the use of regional budget expenditures on the example of the budgets of the Nizhny Novgorod and Mur-mansk regions. Materials and methods. General scientific methods are involved: analysis, synthesis, gener-alization, classification; and specifically scientific methods: dynamics analysis, correlation and re-gression analysis, neural network modeling. The information base of the study includes indexes of the execution of the federal budget of the Russian Federation (information from the Federal Treas-ury of the Russian Federation) and regional budgets published in the relevant laws of the regions; statistical data published by Rosstat. The novelty of the research approach lies in the combination of traditional and economic-mathematical methods with the use of the Cobb-Douglas production func-tion. This fact provided an opportunity to assess the impact of budget expenditures on individual factors of production that determine the volume of public product produced. The paper presents a comparative assessment of the effectiveness of budget planning based on normative and program-target methods. Results. It was found that the use of budget funds in the Murmansk region is more effective than in the Nizhny Novgorod region. In this region, starting from 2019, the priority of the task of developing a program-targeted method of budget planning has been reduced, but the region has achieved high efficiency in the use of budget funds due to rational management of budget debt. The budget of the Murmansk Region is characterized by a significant reduction in the debt burden, which reduces the share of public debt servicing costs, and the ratio of the amount of public debt to the expenditures of the regional budget by the end of 2021 approached zero. The study showed that budget expenditures have a significant positive impact on the growth of the capital factor. At the same time, the growth of budget expenditures has a more negative impact on the development of the labor factor. It was found that when using the program-target method, a number of program ex-penditures have a positive impact on the growth of the labor force in the regions, but the degree of such influence is insignificant. Conclusion. In the course of the study, the authors concluded that the efficiency of using budget funds in the Murmansk region is higher than in the Nizhny Novgorod region. This circum-stance indicates a greater influence on the efficiency of the use of budget funds of the quality factor of public debt management in comparison with the influence of the factor of the application of the program-target method of budget planning. The results of the conducted research may be useful to government agencies responsible for planning and budgeting.
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