2022年后哈萨克斯坦的外交政策倾向

IF 0.2 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
M. Y. Kucherov, I. V. Vokhmintsev, I. D. Kravchuk, V. Y. Andriukhin, M. A. Fedotov, A. A. Tokarev
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2022年1月哈萨克斯坦的抗议活动引起了全球对该国外交政策取向的关注。本研究调查了托卡耶夫总统任期内哈萨克斯坦优先考虑的重点国家和国际组织,从2019年3月20日托卡耶夫上任到2022年12月31日,这标志着数据收集的结束。本研究以内容分析和话语分析为主要方法,从哈萨克斯坦总统的官方网站、其社交媒体资料和相关媒体等多个来源进行数据分析。该分析包含了三种语言(俄语、哈萨克语和英语)对国家、领导人和国际组织的提及。主要发现包括托卡耶夫频繁提及俄罗斯(223次)和中国(95次),而联合国(UN)和欧亚经济联盟(EAEU)在国际组织中被提及的次数最多(分别为178次和102次)。值得注意的是,托卡耶夫在处理外交政策问题时主要用俄语交流。一般来说,公共话语与哈萨克斯坦的教义话语密切一致。然而,出现了显著的差异。尽管《外交政策构想》表明哈萨克斯坦有意加强与美国的战略伙伴关系,但托卡耶夫对美国的有限提及(总共33次)表明了一种明显的趋势。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Foreign Policy Preferences of Kazakhstan after 2022
The January 2022 protests in Kazakhstan drew global attention to the country's foreign policy orientations. This research investigates the focal states and international organizations prioritized by Kazakhstan during Kassym-Jomart Tokayev's presidency, spanning from March 20, 2019, when Tokayev assumed office, to December 31, 2022, marking the end of data collection. Employing content analysis and discourse analysis as primary methods, this study examines data from diverse sources, including the official website of Kazakhstan's President, his social media profiles, and relevant media outlets. The analysis encompasses mentions of countries, their leaders, and international organizations across three languages: Russian, Kazakh, and English. Key findings include Tokayev's frequent references to Russia (223 mentions) and China (95 mentions), while the United Nations (UN) and the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) receive the highest number of mentions among international organizations (178 and 102, respectively). Remarkably, Tokayev predominantly communicates in Russian when addressing foreign policy matters. In general, public discourse aligns closely with Kazakhstan's doctrinal discourse. However, notable discrepancies arise. Despite the Foreign Policy Concept's indication of Kazakhstan's intent to strengthen its strategic partnership with the United States, Tokayev's limited mentions of the United States (33 in total) suggest a distinct trend.
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来源期刊
MGIMO Review of International Relations
MGIMO Review of International Relations INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS-
CiteScore
0.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
46
审稿时长
12 weeks
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