{"title":"提现成功估计","authors":"Hayden Brown","doi":"10.1142/s0219024923500140","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Given an asset having a geometric Lévy alpha-stable wealth process, a log-Lévy alpha-stable lower bound is constructed for the terminal wealth of a regular investing schedule. Using a transformation, the lower bound is applied to a schedule of withdrawals occurring after an initial investment. As a result, an upper bound is described on the probability to complete a given schedule of withdrawals. For withdrawals of a constant amount at equidistant times, necessary conditions are given on the initial investment and parameters of the wealth process such that [Formula: see text] withdrawals can be made with 95% confidence. When withdrawing from an annually rebalanced portfolio maintaining 100[Formula: see text]% in the S&P Composite Index and 100([Formula: see text])% in inflation protected bonds, the initial investment must be at least [Formula: see text] times the amount of each withdrawal for [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text].","PeriodicalId":47022,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance","volume":"6 5","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.5000,"publicationDate":"2023-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Withdrawal Success Estimation\",\"authors\":\"Hayden Brown\",\"doi\":\"10.1142/s0219024923500140\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Given an asset having a geometric Lévy alpha-stable wealth process, a log-Lévy alpha-stable lower bound is constructed for the terminal wealth of a regular investing schedule. Using a transformation, the lower bound is applied to a schedule of withdrawals occurring after an initial investment. As a result, an upper bound is described on the probability to complete a given schedule of withdrawals. For withdrawals of a constant amount at equidistant times, necessary conditions are given on the initial investment and parameters of the wealth process such that [Formula: see text] withdrawals can be made with 95% confidence. When withdrawing from an annually rebalanced portfolio maintaining 100[Formula: see text]% in the S&P Composite Index and 100([Formula: see text])% in inflation protected bonds, the initial investment must be at least [Formula: see text] times the amount of each withdrawal for [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text].\",\"PeriodicalId\":47022,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance\",\"volume\":\"6 5\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-11-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1142/s0219024923500140\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s0219024923500140","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Given an asset having a geometric Lévy alpha-stable wealth process, a log-Lévy alpha-stable lower bound is constructed for the terminal wealth of a regular investing schedule. Using a transformation, the lower bound is applied to a schedule of withdrawals occurring after an initial investment. As a result, an upper bound is described on the probability to complete a given schedule of withdrawals. For withdrawals of a constant amount at equidistant times, necessary conditions are given on the initial investment and parameters of the wealth process such that [Formula: see text] withdrawals can be made with 95% confidence. When withdrawing from an annually rebalanced portfolio maintaining 100[Formula: see text]% in the S&P Composite Index and 100([Formula: see text])% in inflation protected bonds, the initial investment must be at least [Formula: see text] times the amount of each withdrawal for [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text].
期刊介绍:
The shift of the financial market towards the general use of advanced mathematical methods has led to the introduction of state-of-the-art quantitative tools into the world of finance. The International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF) brings together international experts involved in the mathematical modelling of financial instruments as well as the application of these models to global financial markets. The development of complex financial products has led to new challenges to the regulatory bodies. Financial instruments that have been designed to serve the needs of the mature capitals market need to be adapted for application in the emerging markets.