宏观经济因素与Oic国家旅游收入之间的关系:面板分位数回归方法

Saizal Pinjaman, Shaidathul Jemin, Abdul Rahim Ridzuan, Suddin Lada
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摘要

本文研究了宏观经济因素与伊斯兰会议组织国家旅游收入之间的关系。根据所进行的小组分位数回归分析,表明宏观经济因素对旅游收入的影响是异质性的,这取决于对伊斯兰会议组织东道国的旅游支出水平。汇率和收入与旅游收入呈正相关。同时,在旅游收入较低的水平上,通货膨胀与旅游收入呈负相关,而在消费较高的水平上,通货膨胀与旅游收入呈正相关。另一方面,贸易开放程度一般与旅游收入呈负相关,而且这种关系的强度在较高的消费水平上下降。目前的研究认为,要发展旅游业,应考虑到经济发展和贸易开放的积极影响,制定适当的计划,包括改善基础设施、旅游设施、旅游安全、入境便利。还应制定有关战略,以吸引来自购买力较高和货币价值较强的国家的游客,因为这意味着在解释旅游收入的流动方面很重要。关键词:旅游需求宏观经济因素OIC国家
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Nexus between Macroeconomic Factors and Tourism Receipts for Oic Countries: Panel Quantile Regression Approach
The current paper investigates the relationship between macroeconomic factors and tourism receipts for OIC countries. Based on the panel quantile regression analysis conducted, it is demonstrated that the impact of macroeconomic factors on tourism receipts is heterogeneous depending on the levels of tourism spending towards the OIC host countries. The exchange rate and income exhibit a positive relationship with tourism receipts. Meanwhile, inflation presents a negative relationship towards tourism receipt at the lower level of tourism receipt yet positively related at the higher level of spending. On the other hand, trade openness is negatively related to tourism receipts in general and the strength of the relationship decreases at a higher level of spending. The current research believes that to develop the tourism sector, proper plans should be made including improving the infrastructure, tourism facility, travel safety, and ease of entry considering the positive impact of economic development and trade openness. Relevant strategies should also be made to attract tourists from countries with higher purchasing power and strong currency value since it implies to be important in explaining the movement of tourism receipt. Keywords: Tourism Demand, Macroeconomic Factors, OIC countrie
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