到21世纪20年代初的北约发展

Q1 Arts and Humanities
Ph. Trunov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在两国对峙的情况下,我们可以面对北约大幅加强军事力量的事实。第一个是欧洲-大西洋共同体和俄罗斯联邦之间的关系,第二个是美国及其越来越多的合作伙伴和中国之间的关系。本文试图探讨北约力量的增长,重点以其部队集团为例,首先是多边的。本文的理论基础是军队建设理论。它认为武装力量是不断发展的本质。该理论结合了归纳和演绎的方法,能够很好地解答一些“大理论”难以解答的问题,也能在预测世界秩序相当困难的情况下解决问题。作者以北约为例,展示了多边主义在成员国建立共同军事集团方面的演变过程(从非先进到先进)。介绍了欧洲大陆成员国“军事机器”在北约一体化程度的变化,以及美国对这一趋势的看法。在其活动中,联盟的活动方向可转150度。新老的关键任务是威慑俄罗斯和遏制中国。这意味着真正的挑战,即不稳定的风险,现在纯粹是次要的任务。文章涵盖了北约反应部队(作为力量的关键要素)加强的过程,以及在东欧建立前沿存在部队的过程。该科学论文强调,马德里峰会(2022年)的决定不仅旨在提高北约的军事潜力,而且旨在最终将所有类型的军事集团整合为一个整体。在这方面,俄罗斯在乌克兰的特别军事行动的因素已成为精心计划和一贯执行的进程的契机,而不是原因,使欧洲-大西洋共同体的巨大集体权力承载者的作用回归联盟。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
NATO Development by the Early 2020s
We can face the fact of huge military strengthening of NATO in the situation of the two confrontations. The first one is between the Euro-Atlantic community and Russian Federation, the second one is between the USA, the growing number of their partners and China. The article tries to explore the growing of NATO`s power, focusing on the case of its troops` groups, first of all multilateral. The methodical basis of the article is the theory of armed forces building. It perceives the armed forces as permanently evolving essence. The theory combines induction and deduction methods, can successfully answer the questions, which are difficult for some “big theories”, also in the situation when the predicting the world order is rather problematic. The author shows the evolution of multilateralism (from non-advanced to advanced) in the sphere of creation of common military groups by member states on the example of NATO. The change in the degree of European continental member countries "military machines" integration in NATO is presented as well as the perception of the tendency by the USA. In its activity the Alliance turns around 150 degrees. The new old key tasks are the deterrence of Russia and also containment of China. It means that the real challenges which are the risks of instability now are purely secondary tasks. The article covers the process of NATO Response Force (as the key element of power) strengthening, also the creation of Forward Presence Force in Eastern Europe. The scientific paper stresses that the decisions of Madrid summit (2022) are aimed at not only growing of NATO`s military potential, but also the ultimate integration of all types of military groups into a single whole. In this regard the factor of Russian special military operation in Ukraine has become the occasion, but not the reason of carefully planned and consistently implemented process of the return to the Alliance the role of the enormous collective power bearer for the Euro-Atlantic community.
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来源期刊
Mezhdunarodnye Protsessy
Mezhdunarodnye Protsessy Arts and Humanities-History
CiteScore
0.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
9
审稿时长
34 weeks
期刊介绍: “International Trends” (“Mezhdunarodnye protsessy”) was established in 2002 as the first Russian TIR journal. As of the early 2010s, it holds a strong position among the top three Russian thematic academic journals (according to the Russian Science Citation Index). The Journal’s key mission is a theoretical comprehension of the world as a whole, of international tendencies and the planetary political environment, and of the world-integrity our country finds herself in and develops with.
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