Seyed Mojtaba Taghavi, Vahidreza Ghezavati, Hadi Mohammadi Bidhandi, Seyed Mohammad Javad Mirzapour Al-e-Hashem
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Design/methodology/approach The present paper proposes a risk-averse two-stage mixed-integer stochastic programming model for sustainable and resilient SS,OA&PS problem under supply disruptions. In this decision-making process, determining the primary supplier portfolio according to the minimum sustainable-resilient score establishes the first-stage decisions. The recourse or second-stage decisions are: determining the amount of order allocation and scheduling of parts by each supplier, determining the reactive risk management strategies, determining the amount of order allocation and scheduling by each of reaction strategies and determining the number of products and scheduling of products on the planning time horizon. Uncertain parameters of this study are the start time of disruption, remaining capacity rate of suppliers and lead times associated with each reactive strategy. Findings In this paper, several numerical examples along with different sensitivity analyses (on risk parameters, minimum sustainable-resilience score of suppliers and shortage costs) were presented to evaluate the applicability of the proposed model. The results showed that the two-stage risk-averse stochastic mixed-integer programming model for designing the SS,OA&PS problem by considering economic and social aspects and resilience strategies is an effective and flexible tool and leads to optimal decisions with the least cost. In addition, the managerial insights obtained from this study are extracted and stated in Section 4.6. Originality/value This work proposes a risk-averse stochastic programming approach for a new multi-product sustainable and resilient SS,OA&PS problem. The planning horizon includes three periods before the disruption, during the disruption period and the recovery period. Other contributions of this work are: selecting the main supply portfolio based on the minimum score of sustainable-resilient criteria of suppliers, allocating and scheduling suppliers orders before and after disruptions, considering the balance constraint in receiving parts and using proactive and reactive risk management strategies simultaneously. 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引用次数: 0
摘要
目的研究不确定性中断下可持续弹性供应商选择、订单分配和生产调度(SS,OA&PS)问题的平均风险成本最小化问题。将条件风险值(CVaR)作为风险度量来优化总期望值和CVaR成本的组合目标函数。可持续的供应链可以通过社会公正、人权和环境进步为公司创造显著的竞争优势。为了控制中断,作者应用了(主动和被动)弹性策略。在本研究中,作者将弹性和社会责任问题结合起来,导致供应链活动的协同作用。设计/方法/方法本文提出了一个风险规避的两阶段混合整数随机规划模型,用于解决供应中断下的可持续和弹性SS, oa &;PS问题。在此决策过程中,根据最小可持续弹性评分确定主要供应商组合,建立第一阶段决策。追索权或第二阶段决策是:确定每个供应商的订单分配量和零件调度,确定反应性风险管理策略,确定每个反应策略的订单分配量和调度,确定计划时间范围内的产品数量和产品调度。本研究的不确定参数是中断的开始时间、供应商的剩余产能率和与每种反应策略相关的交货时间。本文通过几个数值例子以及不同的敏感性分析(风险参数、供应商最小可持续弹性评分和短缺成本)来评估所提出模型的适用性。结果表明,考虑经济、社会因素和弹性策略的两阶段风险规避型随机混合整数规划模型是一种有效、灵活的工具,能够以最小的成本实现最优决策。此外,从本研究中获得的管理见解在第4.6节中进行了提取和说明。独创性/价值本工作提出了一种规避风险的随机规划方法,用于解决新的多产品可持续和弹性的SS,OA&PS问题。规划范围包括中断前、中断期间和恢复期三个阶段。本工作的其他贡献包括:基于供应商可持续弹性标准的最小得分选择主要供应组合,在中断之前和之后分配和调度供应商订单,考虑接收部件的平衡约束,同时使用主动和被动风险管理策略。并将不同投资模式下的无功策略调度应用于该问题。
Sustainable and resilient supplier selection, order allocation, and production scheduling problem under disruption utilizing conditional value at risk
Purpose This paper aims to minimize the mean-risk cost of sustainable and resilient supplier selection, order allocation and production scheduling (SS,OA&PS) problem under uncertainty of disruptions. The authors use conditional value at risk (CVaR) as a risk measure in optimizing the combined objective function of the total expected value and CVaR cost. A sustainable supply chain can create significant competitive advantages for companies through social justice, human rights and environmental progress. To control disruptions, the authors applied (proactive and reactive) resilient strategies. In this study, the authors combine resilience and social responsibility issues that lead to synergy in supply chain activities. Design/methodology/approach The present paper proposes a risk-averse two-stage mixed-integer stochastic programming model for sustainable and resilient SS,OA&PS problem under supply disruptions. In this decision-making process, determining the primary supplier portfolio according to the minimum sustainable-resilient score establishes the first-stage decisions. The recourse or second-stage decisions are: determining the amount of order allocation and scheduling of parts by each supplier, determining the reactive risk management strategies, determining the amount of order allocation and scheduling by each of reaction strategies and determining the number of products and scheduling of products on the planning time horizon. Uncertain parameters of this study are the start time of disruption, remaining capacity rate of suppliers and lead times associated with each reactive strategy. Findings In this paper, several numerical examples along with different sensitivity analyses (on risk parameters, minimum sustainable-resilience score of suppliers and shortage costs) were presented to evaluate the applicability of the proposed model. The results showed that the two-stage risk-averse stochastic mixed-integer programming model for designing the SS,OA&PS problem by considering economic and social aspects and resilience strategies is an effective and flexible tool and leads to optimal decisions with the least cost. In addition, the managerial insights obtained from this study are extracted and stated in Section 4.6. Originality/value This work proposes a risk-averse stochastic programming approach for a new multi-product sustainable and resilient SS,OA&PS problem. The planning horizon includes three periods before the disruption, during the disruption period and the recovery period. Other contributions of this work are: selecting the main supply portfolio based on the minimum score of sustainable-resilient criteria of suppliers, allocating and scheduling suppliers orders before and after disruptions, considering the balance constraint in receiving parts and using proactive and reactive risk management strategies simultaneously. Also, the scheduling of reactive strategies in different investment modes is applied to this problem.
期刊介绍:
Journal of Modelling in Management (JM2) provides a forum for academics and researchers with a strong interest in business and management modelling. The journal analyses the conceptual antecedents and theoretical underpinnings leading to research modelling processes which derive useful consequences in terms of management science, business and management implementation and applications. JM2 is focused on the utilization of management data, which is amenable to research modelling processes, and welcomes academic papers that not only encompass the whole research process (from conceptualization to managerial implications) but also make explicit the individual links between ''antecedents and modelling'' (how to tackle certain problems) and ''modelling and consequences'' (how to apply the models and draw appropriate conclusions). The journal is particularly interested in innovative methodological and statistical modelling processes and those models that result in clear and justified managerial decisions. JM2 specifically promotes and supports research writing, that engages in an academically rigorous manner, in areas related to research modelling such as: A priori theorizing conceptual models, Artificial intelligence, machine learning, Association rule mining, clustering, feature selection, Business analytics: Descriptive, Predictive, and Prescriptive Analytics, Causal analytics: structural equation modeling, partial least squares modeling, Computable general equilibrium models, Computer-based models, Data mining, data analytics with big data, Decision support systems and business intelligence, Econometric models, Fuzzy logic modeling, Generalized linear models, Multi-attribute decision-making models, Non-linear models, Optimization, Simulation models, Statistical decision models, Statistical inference making and probabilistic modeling, Text mining, web mining, and visual analytics, Uncertainty-based reasoning models.