基于时空Gaidai-Yakimov方法的流感型流行风险分析

Oleg Gaidai , Vladimir Yakimov , Eric-Jan van Loon
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引用次数: 1

摘要

据报道,新型冠状病毒疾病的广泛传播最近阻碍了全球公共卫生,尽管发病率和死亡率很低。新型的生物可靠性方法可在较长时间内准确预测未来冠状病毒感染率,特别适用于环境多区域卫生和生物系统。高区域维度以及各区域数据集之间的相互关联对传统统计工具的管理具有挑战性。方法提出了一种新的时空分析方法来评估未来流行病学暴发的风险。在多中心、以人群为基础的环境中,使用最先进、最先进的统计方法评估原始临床数据。结果针对未来冠状病毒感染暴发,建立了一种新的可靠的长期风险评估方法。结论基于国家临床患者监测原始数据集,尽管基础数据集数据质量存在问题,但所提出的方法仍然可以应用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Influenza-type epidemic risks by spatio-temporal Gaidai-Yakimov method

Background

Global public health was recently hampered by reported widespread spread of new coronavirus illness, although morbidity and fatality rates were low. Future coronavirus infection rates may be accurately predicted over a long-time horizon, using novel bio-reliability approach, being especially well suitable for environmental multi-regional health and biological systems. The high regional dimensionality along with cross-correlations between various regional datasets being challenging for conventional statistical tools to manage.

Methods

To assess future risks of epidemiological outbreak in any province of interest, novel spatio-temporal technique has been proposed. In a multicenter, population-based environment, assess raw clinical data using state-of-the-art, cutting-edge statistical methodologies.

Results

Authors have developed novel reliable long-term risk assessment methodology for future coronavirus infection outbreaks.

Conclusions

Based on national clinical patient monitoring raw dataset, it is concluded that although underlying data set data quality is questionable, the proposed method may be still applied.

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来源期刊
Dialogues in health
Dialogues in health Public Health and Health Policy
CiteScore
0.70
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0.00%
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134 days
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