信息不完全多准则决策问题的PROMETHEE - belief方法

H. Frikha, A. Frikha
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引用次数: 0

摘要

多准则决策辅助方法考虑决策问题,其中许多备选方案在几个标准上进行评估。这些方法用于处理完备信息。然而,在实践中,这种信息要求显然过于严格。事实上,或多或少可靠的决策者提供的不完善的数据通常会影响决策结果,因为任何决策都与信息的质量和可用性密切相关。本文提出了一种PROMETHEE II-BELIEF方法来帮助基于不完全信息的多准则决策。该方法解决了PROMETHEE II方法中决策矩阵不完全和权值未知的问题。该方法基于信念函数理论,首先根据PROMETHEE II的净流量确定信念质量的分布,然后计算权重。然后,利用修正的Murphy组合规则对各准则相关的分布质量进行聚合,从而推断出全局的信念结构。通过皮格尼格概率变换得到最终的备选排序。为说明PROMETHEE II-BELIEF方法的详细过程,对突尼斯中部具有传染性风险的医疗保健活动废物处理中心选址的实际应用案例进行了研究。关键词:多准则辅助,不完全信息,PROMETHEE II方法,信念函数理论。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A PROMETHEE II-BELIEFapproach for multi-criteria decision-making problems with incomplete information
Multi-criteria decision aid methods consider decision problems in which many alternatives are evaluated on several criteria. These methods are used to deal with perfect information. However, in practice, it is obvious that this information requirement is too strict. In fact, the imperfect data provided by more or less reliable decision makers usually affect decision results, since any decision is closely linked to the quality and availability of information. In this paper, a PROMETHEE II-BELIEF approach is proposed to help multi-criteria decisions based on incomplete information. This approach solves problems with incomplete decision matrix and unknown weights within PROMETHEE II method. On the basis of belief function theory, our approach first determines the distributions of belief masses based on PROMETHEE II’s net flows, and then calculates weights. Subsequently, it aggregates the distribution masses associated with each criterion using Murphy’s modified combination rule in order to infer a global belief structure. The final alternative ranking is obtained via pignistic probability transformation. A case study of a real-world application concerning the location of a treatment center of waste from healthcare activities with infectious risk in the center of Tunisia is studied to illustrate the detailed process of the PROMETHEE II-BELIEF approach. Keywords: multiple criteria aid, incomplete information, PROMETHEE II method, belief function theory.
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