PANGO:基于时间序列聚类的场馆交通流预测模型

Huayi Zhou, Peng Xu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着城市中场馆数量的增加,它为人们提供了更好的服务。然而,不断变化的人流也给场馆管理带来了挑战,特别是在当前新冠肺炎常态化防控措施下。因此,提出一个合适的步行到场馆的预测模型是非常必要的。场馆交通流的时代性决定了应用经典预测模型预测结果的准确性不理想。为了解决这一问题,本文提出了一种结合时间序列聚类的长短期记忆网络(LSTM)——PANGO。在PANGO中,提出了时间聚类来解决交通流数据的短期依赖性,而采用长期周期预测模型来获取长期周期特征,从而提高预测的准确性。多维度实验结果表明,与传统LSTM模型相比,PANGO模型的预测精度提高了11.8%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
PANGO: Prediction Model Based on Clustering of Time Series for Traffic Flow to Venues
With the increasing number of venues in the city, it provides better services for people. However, the ever-changing flow of people has also brought challenges to the management of venues, especially under the current regular prevention and control measures for COVID-19. Therefore, it is extremely necessary to propose a suitable prediction model for pedestrian volume to venues. The timing characteristics of venue’s traffic flow determine that the accuracy of the prediction results by applying classical prediction models is unsatisfactory. In order to resolve the problem, in this paper, a Long Short Term Memory network (LSTM) combined with clustering of time series named PANGO is proposed. In PANGO, the temporal clustering is proposed to solve the short-term dependence of traffic flow data, while the long-term cycle prediction model is applied to obtain the longterm cycle characteristics, so as to improve the accuracy of prediction. Finally, the results of multi-dimensional experiments show that the prediction accuracy of PANGO model is improved by 11.8% compared with the traditional LSTM model.
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