Research on a Method of Combat Simulation Creditability Evaluation Based on Event Logic Analysis

Credibility is an important part of combat simulation research, which restricts application qualities of simulation in the operational decision-making. Most of credibility evaluation methods measure the credibility by analyzing gap between simulation results and actual results, but the actual results of combat cannot be predicted. The paper brings forward a credibility evaluation method based on event logic analysis, using the same form of event logical graph models to describe the combat process in simulation and theory. According to the merger thoughts, the paper also gives a strategy of contrast between the two event logic models, which can measure the flow rationality of simulation models by analyzing the event coverage degree and process matching degree between simulation logic models and theoretic logical models.