斯洛伐克1991-2020年降水条件评价

Vladimír Kišš, Andrej Tárník, J. Pagáč, Martin Minařík
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候变化在过去三十年中最为明显。在世界上,也包括斯洛伐克,有极端的温度和频繁的干旱与暴雨交替的时期。这两种选择都不适合这个国家。本文的目的是确定1991- 2020年期间的降水分布。利用Mann-Kendall趋势分析,确定了斯洛伐克75个站点一年中个别月份降水的统计显著增加或减少。结果表明,4月份降水量减少具有统计学意义。缺乏降水导致土壤湿度低,从而限制了农作物的生长。1月份的降水量在统计上显著增加。然而,这并不意味着积雪的增加。相反,由于冬季气温较高,积雪不会持续很长时间,尤其是在南方。因此,水分不能从积雪逐渐流到土壤中,但液体形式的水会从土地上流出。这一结果加上春季降水不足导致了长期干旱。根据处理的数据,证明在过去30年中,尽管1月份降水增加,但4月份降水减少明显,有必要采取措施收集水,以便在春季使用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
PRECIPITATION CONDITIONS EVALUATION IN SLOVAKIA FOR 1991-2020
Climate change is the most pronounced in the last thirty years. In the world, but also in Slovakia, there are extreme temperatures and frequent periods of drought alternating with torrential precipitation. Neither of these two options is suitable for the country. The aim of this article was to determine the distribution of precipitation in the period 1991- 2020. Using the Mann-Kendall trend analysis, it was determined a statistically significant increase or decrease in precipitation in individual months of the year for 75 stations in Slovakia. The results showed that a statistically significant decrease in precipitation is in April. The lack of precipitation causes low moisture in the soil and thus the growth of agricultural crops is limited. A statistically significant increase in precipitation occurred in January. However, this does not mean an increase in snow cover. On the contrary, due to the higher temperatures in the winter months, the snow cover will not last long, especially in the south. As a result, moisture cannot gradually flow to the soil from the snow cover, but the water in the liquid form will flow away from the land. This result with the lack of precipitation in the spring cause prolonged droughts. Based on the data processed, it is proven that despite the increase in precipitation in January, the decrease in precipitation in April is significant over the last thirty years and it is necessary to create measures to collect water in order to use it in the spring months.
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