对政权的愤怒?中国工作自动化风险与政治态度

Stefan Pasch
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2015年,中国政府制定了工业数字化的国家战略目标,并越来越多地培育基于人工智能的技术和研究。这是否影响了那些因技术进步而面临高度自动化风险的职业的工人的政治态度?为了检验这个问题,我分析了2014年至2017年的中国综合社会调查(CGSS)。我发现,那些工作可能被自动化的人对中国的发展相对不太满意,对中国中央政府的信任度也相对较低。此外,它们表明对西方权力分离模式的更多支持。然而,与西方国家的调查结果不同,我发现自动化风险高的工人对他们的国家和民族文化表现出较少的自豪感。一种可能的解释是,在中国,国家认同与政府紧密相连,因为中国政府的目标是利用国家认同使其权力合法化。此外,根据政府培育新技术的政策可能会导致受到不利影响的工人的政治抵制的观点,我发现,通过公布的省级人工智能文件的数量来衡量,政府对人工智能的支持程度较高的省份,政府支持的减少尤其强烈。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Rage Against the Regime? Risk of Job Automation and Political Attitudes in China
In 2015, the Chinese government has formulated the national strategic goal to digitize its industry and has increasingly fostered AI-based technologies and research. Has this affected the political attitudes of workers with occupations that face a high risk to be automated due to technological advancements? To examine this question, I analyze the Chinese General Social Survey (CGSS) from 2014 to 2017. I find that those whose jobs are likely to be automated became comparably less satisfied with China’s development and showed less trust in the Chinese central government. Furthermore, they indicate more support for the Western model of power separation. However, different from findings for Western countries, I find that workers with a high automation risk show less pride in their nation and national culture. A potential explanation for this is that national identity is strongly linked with the government in China as the Chinese government is aiming to use national identity to legitimize its power. Moreover, in line with the argument that governmental policies to foster new technologies may lead to political pushbacks from detrimentally affected workers, I find that the decrease in government support is particularly strong in provinces with high governmental support for AI, measured by the amount of published provincial AI documents.
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