风险和不确定性背景下的监管决策

P. Szkudlarek
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的目的是确定波兰电信市场监管机构(电子通信办公室,OEC)决策者在风险和不确定性条件下做出决策的倾向,并将其与一组非专家进行比较。研究结果表明,监管机构的决策者在大多数情况下做出的决策都符合前景理论。此外,在不确定情况下,OEC决策者在期望值相同但方差不同的决策情况下,保持现状,保持较低的风险倾向。同时,有人指出,他们的决定与非专家小组所作的决定并无不同。文章中提出的研究结果有助于讨论公共决策者在风险和不确定性条件下做出决策的倾向
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Regulatory decisions in the context of risk and uncertainty
The purpose of the article is to identify the propensity of decision-makers of the regulatory authority on the telecommunications market in Poland (Office of Electronic Communications, OEC) in making decisions under risk and uncertainty conditions and comparing them with a group of non-experts. The research outcomes reveal that decision-makers of the regulatory authority make in most cases decisions that are consistent with the prospect theory. In addition, OEC decision-makers in circumstances of uncertainty, retain the status quo and maintain a lower risk tendency in a decision-making situation with the same expected value but different variance. It was pointed out, at the same time, that their decisions did not differ from those taken by the group of non-experts. The findings presented in the article contribute to the discussion on the propensity of public decision-makers to make decisions under conditions of risk and uncertainty
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