{"title":"精确科学和不精确科学测量的统计分析:一个开放的问题","authors":"L. Q. Amaral","doi":"10.11159/icsta21.126","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Differences between statistical analysis of measurements in exact and inexact sciences are the focus of this work. The early and independent beginning of Probability and Statistics had a theoretical synthesis, with an initial development based in Physics and Astronomy. This lead to Error Theory, used in Statistics of Measurements in Exact sciences, with defined criteria of validity. This direction of Mathematical Physics resulted in the progresses and achievements in Classical Physics, and also on established ways of treating measurements of physical properties. It is discussed that Exact Sciences treat only Inanimate Matter, and things that can be defined and measured, in terms of only seven fundamental physical quantities, with the definition of the International System of Units (SI). On the other hand a direction of Mathematical Statistics emerged later on, based on “Sampling”, to study properties of a population, with criteria of significance, within validity intervals, which depend on the size and characteristics of the studied sample, and on the inferences to be made in the research. These are two very different approaches, but both use probability density functions related to hypothesis about data. The modern inferential sampling statistics can be applied to all practical problems, in particular in Biology and Humanities, where there are “models”, but not Theories as in Physics. The word “theory” is many times used in a mistaken way. Life and Human Sciences use this modern type of Statistics. This paper discusses a particular case, in which the same ensemble of experimental results in samples of biological origin (hairs from hominoids) can be analyzed with the two different statistical approaches, in a proposal for Human Evolution, and the conditions for inference of accurate conclusions are discussed. A philosophical discussion between subjective and objective criteria of the researcher is made, and also of the concept of knowledge.","PeriodicalId":403959,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Statistics: Theory and Applications","volume":"47 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2021-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Statistical Analysis of Measurements in Exact and Inexact Sciences: An Open Problem\",\"authors\":\"L. Q. Amaral\",\"doi\":\"10.11159/icsta21.126\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Differences between statistical analysis of measurements in exact and inexact sciences are the focus of this work. The early and independent beginning of Probability and Statistics had a theoretical synthesis, with an initial development based in Physics and Astronomy. This lead to Error Theory, used in Statistics of Measurements in Exact sciences, with defined criteria of validity. This direction of Mathematical Physics resulted in the progresses and achievements in Classical Physics, and also on established ways of treating measurements of physical properties. It is discussed that Exact Sciences treat only Inanimate Matter, and things that can be defined and measured, in terms of only seven fundamental physical quantities, with the definition of the International System of Units (SI). On the other hand a direction of Mathematical Statistics emerged later on, based on “Sampling”, to study properties of a population, with criteria of significance, within validity intervals, which depend on the size and characteristics of the studied sample, and on the inferences to be made in the research. These are two very different approaches, but both use probability density functions related to hypothesis about data. The modern inferential sampling statistics can be applied to all practical problems, in particular in Biology and Humanities, where there are “models”, but not Theories as in Physics. The word “theory” is many times used in a mistaken way. Life and Human Sciences use this modern type of Statistics. This paper discusses a particular case, in which the same ensemble of experimental results in samples of biological origin (hairs from hominoids) can be analyzed with the two different statistical approaches, in a proposal for Human Evolution, and the conditions for inference of accurate conclusions are discussed. A philosophical discussion between subjective and objective criteria of the researcher is made, and also of the concept of knowledge.\",\"PeriodicalId\":403959,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Statistics: Theory and Applications\",\"volume\":\"47 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-08-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Statistics: Theory and Applications\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.11159/icsta21.126\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Statistics: Theory and Applications","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.11159/icsta21.126","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Statistical Analysis of Measurements in Exact and Inexact Sciences: An Open Problem
Differences between statistical analysis of measurements in exact and inexact sciences are the focus of this work. The early and independent beginning of Probability and Statistics had a theoretical synthesis, with an initial development based in Physics and Astronomy. This lead to Error Theory, used in Statistics of Measurements in Exact sciences, with defined criteria of validity. This direction of Mathematical Physics resulted in the progresses and achievements in Classical Physics, and also on established ways of treating measurements of physical properties. It is discussed that Exact Sciences treat only Inanimate Matter, and things that can be defined and measured, in terms of only seven fundamental physical quantities, with the definition of the International System of Units (SI). On the other hand a direction of Mathematical Statistics emerged later on, based on “Sampling”, to study properties of a population, with criteria of significance, within validity intervals, which depend on the size and characteristics of the studied sample, and on the inferences to be made in the research. These are two very different approaches, but both use probability density functions related to hypothesis about data. The modern inferential sampling statistics can be applied to all practical problems, in particular in Biology and Humanities, where there are “models”, but not Theories as in Physics. The word “theory” is many times used in a mistaken way. Life and Human Sciences use this modern type of Statistics. This paper discusses a particular case, in which the same ensemble of experimental results in samples of biological origin (hairs from hominoids) can be analyzed with the two different statistical approaches, in a proposal for Human Evolution, and the conditions for inference of accurate conclusions are discussed. A philosophical discussion between subjective and objective criteria of the researcher is made, and also of the concept of knowledge.