精确科学和不精确科学测量的统计分析:一个开放的问题

L. Q. Amaral
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在精确和不精确的科学测量的统计分析之间的差异是这项工作的重点。早期独立的概率论和统计学有一个理论的综合,在物理学和天文学的基础上有了初步的发展。这就产生了误差理论,用于精确科学的测量统计,并定义了有效性标准。数学物理的这个方向导致了经典物理学的进步和成就,也建立了处理物理性质测量的既定方法。它讨论了精确科学只处理无生命的物质,以及可以用七个基本物理量来定义和测量的东西,用国际单位制(SI)的定义。另一方面,后来出现了数理统计的一个方向,以“抽样”为基础,研究群体的性质,在有效区间内,根据研究样本的大小和特征,以及研究中要做出的推论,以显著性标准来研究群体的性质。这是两种非常不同的方法,但都使用与数据假设相关的概率密度函数。现代推理抽样统计可以应用于所有实际问题,特别是在生物学和人文科学中,这些领域有“模型”,但不像物理学中有理论。“理论”这个词经常被错误地使用。生命科学和人文科学使用这种现代类型的统计。本文讨论了在《人类进化》的一篇论文中,用两种不同的统计方法分析生物来源样本(类人猿毛发)的相同实验结果集合的一个特殊情况,并讨论了得出准确结论的条件。对研究者的主观标准和客观标准以及知识的概念进行了哲学讨论。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Statistical Analysis of Measurements in Exact and Inexact Sciences: An Open Problem
Differences between statistical analysis of measurements in exact and inexact sciences are the focus of this work. The early and independent beginning of Probability and Statistics had a theoretical synthesis, with an initial development based in Physics and Astronomy. This lead to Error Theory, used in Statistics of Measurements in Exact sciences, with defined criteria of validity. This direction of Mathematical Physics resulted in the progresses and achievements in Classical Physics, and also on established ways of treating measurements of physical properties. It is discussed that Exact Sciences treat only Inanimate Matter, and things that can be defined and measured, in terms of only seven fundamental physical quantities, with the definition of the International System of Units (SI). On the other hand a direction of Mathematical Statistics emerged later on, based on “Sampling”, to study properties of a population, with criteria of significance, within validity intervals, which depend on the size and characteristics of the studied sample, and on the inferences to be made in the research. These are two very different approaches, but both use probability density functions related to hypothesis about data. The modern inferential sampling statistics can be applied to all practical problems, in particular in Biology and Humanities, where there are “models”, but not Theories as in Physics. The word “theory” is many times used in a mistaken way. Life and Human Sciences use this modern type of Statistics. This paper discusses a particular case, in which the same ensemble of experimental results in samples of biological origin (hairs from hominoids) can be analyzed with the two different statistical approaches, in a proposal for Human Evolution, and the conditions for inference of accurate conclusions are discussed. A philosophical discussion between subjective and objective criteria of the researcher is made, and also of the concept of knowledge.
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