2011-2015年,叙利亚现状与干预

Courtney J. Fung
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引用次数: 0

摘要

第六章分析了中国决定停止对叙利亚危机的干预,并在2011年、2012年和2014年多次否决P3主张的干预,呼吁口头谴责、制裁、遵守和平计划,并将叙利亚案件提交国际刑事法院。这一章挑战了一种流行的观点,即由于利比亚的情况,这四个否决权是“给定的”,最终导致了政权更迭。否决本身并不是自动的;中国重新考虑了自己的立场,在每次具有里程碑意义的投票之前权衡各种因素。然而,在这种情况下,中国对地位的担忧在很大程度上被忽略了:没有地位的触发因素,对按照同伴群体标准行事的担忧也没有发挥作用。中国的同行团体中,没有一个能准确地计算出一个反应迟钝的中国所付出的社会代价。中国拒绝接受大国关于叙利亚总统巴沙尔•阿萨德(Bashar al-Assad)不再是合法统治者的立场,而地区国家内部混乱,使它们无法成功地向中国传递地位信号。这并不是说中国对地位问题不敏感,而是说中国调和了地位问题与其他利益之间的关系。中国使用修辞调整来明确区分干预与政权更迭,并修改保护责任的规范性内容。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Status and Intervention in Syria, 2011–2015
Chapter 6 analyzes China’s decision to halt intervention into the Syria crisis, issuing repeated vetoes instead in 2011, twice in 2012, and again in 2014 against the P3 advocated intervention calling for verbal censure, sanctions, compliance with peace plans, and referral of the Syria case to the International Criminal Court. The chapter challenges the popular view that these four vetoes were a “given” due to the Libya case, which ultimately had led to regime change. The vetoes were not automatic per se; China reconsidered its position, weighing factors against one another before each landmark vote. However, China’s status concerns were largely discounted in this case: there was no status trigger, and concerns about acting within peer group standards did not come into play. None of China’s peer groups could exact social costs on an unresponsive China. China rejected the great powers position that President Bashar al-Assad was no longer a legitimate ruler, and regional players were in internal disarray preventing them from successfully transmitting status signals to China. This is not to say that China was insensitive to status concerns, but that China reconciled status concerns against other interests. China used rhetorical adaptation to clearly distinguish intervention from regime change, and to modify the normative content of the responsibility to protect.
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