学习理论与经济政策

G. Evans
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引用次数: 1

摘要

基准理性预期(RE)假设既假设了经济主体不现实的理性程度,也未能解决经济主体如何在均衡上进行协调。本文回顾了学习理论,更具体地说,是适应性学习理论如何解决这些问题,并得出与可再生能源理论不同的政策结论。讨论的应用包括新凯恩斯主义模型中的货币政策、新费雪主义的政策观点、通货膨胀目标、恶性通货膨胀模型,以及避免零下限停滞的宏观经济政策。JEL分类:E62、E63、E52、D84、D83、E31、E32、E71
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Theories of Learning and Economic Policy
The benchmark rational expectations (RE) assumption both assumes an unrealistic degree of rationality for economic agents and fails to address how agents would come to coordinate on an equilibrium. This essay reviews how theories of learning, and more specifically adaptive learning, address these issues and can lead to policy conclusions distinct from those obtained under RE. Applications discussed include monetary policy in New Keynesian models, the neoFisherian policy view, inflation targets, hyperinflation models, and macroeconomic policy to avoid stagnation at the zero lower bound. JEL classification: E62, E63, E52, D84, D83, E31, E32, E71
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