广义回归神经网络在高等教育规模预测中的应用

Zhao-cheng Liu, Xi-yu Liu, Zi-ran Zheng, Gongxi Wang
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引用次数: 1

摘要

一个地区高等教育的历史尺度可以看作是一个具有不确定性、非线性和时变特征的时间序列。采用广义回归神经网络(GRNN)预测方法对山东省高校招生人数及其修正数据进行了预测。对GRNN模型的结构、隐层节点的传递函数、输入向量和输出向量进行了详细的设计,并进行了大量的测试。实验结果表明,GRNN预测高等教育近未来规模的效果是可以接受的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
General Regression Neural Networks in forecasting the scales of higher education
The historical scales of higher education of a given area can be viewed as a time series which is charactered by uncertainty, nonlinearity and time-varying behavior. Predictions for the number of enrolled students in colleges of Shandong province of China and its modified data were carried out respectively by means of General Regression Neural Network (GRNN) forecasters. The detailed designs for architectures of GRNN models, transfer functions of the hidden layer nodes, input vectors and output vectors were made with many tests. Experimental results show that the performance of GRNN for forecasting the scales of the near future scales of higher education is acceptable and effective.
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