美国新自由主义的危机和当前经济滞胀的风险

Xiaoqin Ding, Zhihong Luo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

自新冠肺炎疫情爆发以来,美国经济发生了巨大变化,2020年全年经济增速为负,2021年上半年虽有明显反弹,但到第三季度增速开始快速回落,通货膨胀率突然快速上升,随后由通货膨胀率和失业率组成的“痛苦指数”创下历史新高。所有迹象都表明,美国经济可能进入“滞胀”危机。本文基于社会积累结构理论,从国内社会积累结构(SSA)和国际社会积累结构(SSA)两方面分析了新自由主义时代美国的制度和社会矛盾。当前美国经济滞胀风险是疫情冲击下新自由主义SSA长期积累矛盾的集中爆发,是资本主义生产方式固有矛盾不可调和的产物。独创性/价值在此基础上,本文指出,随着危机的加深,新自由主义的社会安全体系有可能终结,新的社会安全体系将逐步建立。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The crisis of US neoliberalism and the risk of current economic stagflation
PurposeSince the outbreak of COVID-19, tremendous changes have taken place in the US economy – the economic growth in the whole year of 2020 was negative, and though it enjoyed a significant rebound for the first half of 2021, the growth rate began to decline rapidly by the third quarter, and inflation suddenly rises rapidly, which after came the all-time highs of the “misery index” consisted of the inflation rate and unemployment rate. All signs indicate that the US economy will likely enter a “stagflation” crisis.Design/methodology/approachThis paper analyzes the institutional and social contradictions in the United States during the neoliberal era from the perspectives of domestic social structure of accumulation (SSA) and international SSA based on the SSA theory.FindingsThe current risk of stagflation in the US economy is a concentrated outbreak of the long-term accumulated contradictions in neoliberal SSA under the impact of the epidemic, which is the product of the irreconcilable contradictions inherent in the capitalist mode of production.Originality/valueBased on this analysis, the paper points out that with the deepening of the crisis, the neoliberal SSA is likely to end and a new SSA will be established gradually.
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