与候选人的互动会增加选民的支持和参与吗?来自意大利的实验证据

Enrico Cantoni, V. Pons
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引用次数: 15

摘要

我们测试政治家是否可以通过直接接触与公民重新建立联系,增加投票率,赢得选票。在2014年意大利市政选举期间,我们随机分配了26,000名选民接受市议会候选人、支持候选人名单的拉票员或对照组的访问。虽然拉票员的到访使投票率提高了1.8个百分点,但候选人的到访对投票率没有影响。候选人在他们拉票的选区中增加了自己的选票份额,但只是以牺牲名单上的其他候选人为代价。这表明,他们未能动员非选民,是因为他们专注于确保积极选民的偏好。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Do Interactions with Candidates Increase Voter Support and Participation? Experimental Evidence from Italy
We test whether politicians can use direct contact to reconnect with citizens, increase turnout, and win votes. During the 2014 Italian municipal elections, we randomly assigned 26,000 voters to receive visits from city council candidates, canvassers supporting the candidates' list, or to a control group. While canvassers’ visits increased turnout by 1.8 percentage points, candidates’ had no impact on participation. Candidates increased their own vote share in the precincts they canvassed, but only at the expense of other candidates on the list. This suggests that their failure to mobilize nonvoters resulted from focusing on securing the preferences of active voters.
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