随机森林算法预测视频网站DAU

Jianhua Dai, Xiao Guo, Libo Jin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着各大视频网站的崛起,视频网站用户规模不断扩大。用户是所有视频网站的核心,因此研究视频网站的DAU对于评估和指导视频网站的运营具有重要意义。本文基于某视频网站2017年1月至2018年12月的DAU和平台布局数据,对该视频网站DAU的影响因素进行分析,从播出安排、内容水平、内容模式、寒暑假等方面选取10个影响因素,构建随机森林模型,对该视频网站日平均DAU进行回归预测,并计算10个变量的重要度。结果表明,对DAU最重要的预测因子是自产剧,其次是综艺节目s级、综艺节目a级和电视剧数量。视频网站可以使用该方法预测DAU,并根据上述预测指标改进运营。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Predicting Video Website DAU by Random Forest Algorithm
With the rise of major video websites, the scale of video website users is expanding. Users are the core of all video websites, so it is of great significance to study video website DAU to evaluate and guide its operation. Based on the data of a video website DAU and platform layout from January 2017 to December 2018, this article analyzes the influencing factors of the video website DAU, selects 10 influencing factors from broadcasting arrangement, content level, content mode, and winter and summer vacations, constructs a Random Forest model, makes regression prediction on the daily average DAU of the video website and calculates the importance of 10 variables. The results show that the most important predictor of DAU is the self-produced drama, followed by the number of variety shows S-level, variety shows A-level and TV series. Video websites can use the method to predict DAU, and improve their operation from the above predictors.
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