基于先验科学知识的雷达降水临近预报深度学习

Pattarapong Danpoonkij, Nutnaree Kleawsirikul, Patamawadee Leepaisomboon, Natnapat Gaviphatt, Hidetomo Sakaino, P. Vateekul
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引用次数: 5

摘要

降水临近预报的目的是对近期的降水强度进行精确预报,具有广泛的应用前景。一种常见的方法是模拟复杂的物理过程或从当前阶段推断降雨量。该任务的现有深度学习模型使用端到端网络进行预测,但由于问题的复杂性,这种方法往往收效甚微。因此,本文提出了一种结合气象学的科学方法和计算机科学的深度学习方法的新型混合模型。我们在模拟数据和雷达图像上对该模型进行了实验。此外,我们还创建了模拟数据来模仿雷达图像中的重要特征。结果表明,我们的混合建模方法在几乎所有数据集(包括模拟数据和雷达数据)上都优于所有基线。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Incorporating Prior Scientific Knowledge Into Deep Learning for Precipitation Nowcasting on Radar Images
Precipitation nowcasting aims to precisely predict the rainfall intensity in the near future that can be applied in various applications. A common approach is to simulate the complex physical processes or extrapolate the rainfall from the current stage. The existing deep learning model for this task uses an end-to-end network to forecast, but this approach has often met with limited success due to the complexities of the problem. Therefore, this paper proposes a novel hybrid model that combines the scientific method from meteorology and the deep learning method from computer science. We experimented with the model on both simulated data and radar images. Also, we have created the simulated data to imitate important features from radar images. The results show that our hybrid modeling approach outperforms all baselines on almost all datasets (both simulated and the radar data).
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