外国直接投资(fdi)能减少母国的失业率吗?东盟五国分析

Elsa Widia, E. Ridwan, Fajri Muharja
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引用次数: 1

摘要

外国直接投资(FDI)被认为是减少东道国失业的一项战略政策。通过跨国公司,预计能够吸收新的工人,使他们能够降低失业率。一些研究表明,外国直接投资不仅与资本转移有关,而且还提供一些关键的好处,如减少失业、转让技术和管理能力。但是,无论是对发展中国家还是对发达国家来说,这些好处都再次受到质疑。一些研究发现FDI可以降低失业率,但其他研究也有不同的发现。因此,外国直接投资与失业率之间的相互关系没有得到充分澄清。本研究旨在分析外国直接投资对东盟劳动力市场的影响。本研究的重点是东南亚国家联盟(ASEAN)的5个创始国,即印度尼西亚、新加坡、马来西亚、泰国和菲律宾。本研究采用一系列向量误差修正模型(VECM)分析,分析了FDI对东盟五国长期和短期失业率的影响。通过VECM分析中的脉冲响应函数(IRF)检验,也可以分析FDI冲击对失业率波动的影响。使用的数据是1975-2016年的年度数据。结果表明,FDI可以降低东盟五国的失业率,但这一结果只是长期的。虽然通过IRF解释了每个国家的结果是不同的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
CAN FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT (FDI) REDUCE UNEMPLOYMENT IN HOME COUNTRIES? ANALYSIS FOR ASEAN 5
Foreign direct investment (FDI) is considered a strategic policy to reduce unemployment in the host country. Through multinational companies, it is expected to be able to absorb new workers so that they can reduce the unemployment rate. Some studies show that FDI is not only related to capital transfers but also provides several key benefits such as reducing unemployment, transferring technology and managerial capabilities. But the benefits are again questioned, both for developing countries and for developed countries. Some studies have found that FDI can reduce unemployment but other studies have also found different things. So that the interrelationships between foreign direct investment and the unemployment rate are not fully clarified. This study aims to analyze the effect of FDI on the labour market in ASEAN 5. This research focuses on 5 founding countries of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), namely Indonesia, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, and the Philippines. This study uses a series of Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) analyzes to analyze the effect of FDI on unemployment rates, both in the long and short term in each ASEAN 5 country. Through the Impulse Response Function (IRF) test in VECM analysis, it can also analyze the impact of FDI shocks on fluctuations in the unemployment rate. The data used is annual data covering the years 1975-2016. The results show that FDI can reduce unemployment in ASEAN 5 countries, but this result is only seen in the long term. While through the IRF it was explained that the results were different in each country.
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