基于蛛网模型的共享单车供需决策

Xiukun Zhao, Mengyu Han, Qianzhou Deng, Kelei Xue
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引用次数: 3

摘要

共享单车行业近年来蓬勃发展,自行车已经不可抗拒地占据了街道和车道。与此同时,许多操作问题也暴露出来。本文从共享单车数量宏观调控的角度出发,利用Divvy Bikes共享单车公司2013-2017年在芝加哥的实际运营数据,建立了共享单车供需的回归模型。本文利用实际数据和线性回归模型对影响共享单车供需的因素进行分析,推导出供需的回归方程。然后,我们将此回归方程与蛛网模型相结合,描述了芝加哥某品牌共享单车的整个供需系统。最后,讨论了不同人群的供给与需求关系。通过研究,探讨了线性回归与蛛网模型在共享单车领域的集成适用性。研究结果为企业在运营管理中确定共享单车的投放总量提供了部分依据和参考方法。对模型进行检验和修正,然后利用供需关系建立蛛网模型,动态分析公司共享单车的供需关系。然后通过蛛网模型得到一个稳定的供需状态,从宏观角度为公司的决策过程提供依据。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Decisions on supply and demand of bicycle-sharing service based on cobweb model
Sharing bicycle industry has been booming recently and the bicycles have irresistibly occupied the streets and lanes. At the same time, many operational problems have also been exposed. From the perspective of the macro-control of the number of sharing bicycle, this paper uses the actual operating data of the Divvy Bikes sharing bike companies in the 2013-2017 periods in Chicago to establish a regression model for the supply and demand of sharing bicycles. This paper analyzes the factors affecting supply and demand of sharing bicycle with actual data and linear regression models to derive the regression equations for supply and demand. Then, we use this regression equation in combination with a cobweb model to describe the entire supply and demand system for sharing bicycles of a brand in Chicago. Finally, we discuss the relationship between supply and demand in different population. According to research, we explore the integration applicability of linear regression and cobweb model in sharing bicycle field. Results provide a partial basis and reference method for enterprises to decide the total number of sharing bicycles in operation management. The model is tested and remedied, and then the supply and demand are utilized to establish the cobweb model, which helps dynamically analyze the supply and demand relationship of the company's shared bicycles. Then the cobweb model leads to obtain a steady state of supply and demand, which provides a basis for the company's decision-making process from a macro perspective.
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