月平均气温对老年人意外死亡的影响:日本东京、京都、札幌的时间序列分析

M. Kanamori
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摘要

基于非传染性疾病(NCD)的月死亡率,我们研究了京都和札幌的温度与疾病死亡的关系[1,2]。结果表明,最适温度(OT)表示的最低死亡率在两个城市之间存在差异,而每个城市的日平均温度的第84百分位表示的最低死亡率。随着鼠疫发展与温度的关系逐渐明确,研究温度与疾病的关系对于控制疾病具有重要意义。然而,在日本,很少有论文研究温度与老年人跌倒等意外死亡之间的关系。找到这些OT值和流行病学阈值是降低老年人死亡率的迫切需要。本次介绍的目的是澄清日本城市中老年人因受伤和某些其他外因(ICD10, XIX)造成的死亡率与温度之间的关系。获得
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Effect of Monthly Mean Temperature on Accidental Mortality in the Elderly: A Time-Series Analysis in Tokyo, Kyoto, Sapporo, Japan
Extended Abstract Based on monthly mortality from Non-Communicable Diseases (NCD) , we have studied on the relationship between temperature and disease deaths in Kyoto and Sapporo [1,2]. As a result, the Optimum Temperature (OT) indicated the lowest mortality showed the difference between the two cities, while the 84th percentile of daily mean temperature in each city showed the minimum mortality rate. As the relationship between plague development and temperature has been clarified [3], it is important to study the relationship between temperature and disease in order to control diseases. However, there are few papers in Japan that study the relationship between temperature and accidental death such as falls for elderly. Finding those OT values and epidemiological threshold quantities is urgent to minimize elderly mortality. The purpose of this presentation is to clarify the relationship between the mortality rate of the elderly from injury and certain other consequences of external causes (ICD10, XIX) and the temperature in Japanese cities. obtain
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