权益对金融负债比率和总权益十年年化变动或股票市场价格指数

Aki Lappalainen
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引用次数: 4

摘要

在本文中,我证明了芬兰、瑞典、挪威、德国、法国、英国、西班牙、意大利、美国和欧元区的股权与金融负债率与该国股权总价值或相应的股票市场价格指数的年化十年远期变化之间的关系是线性的,并且对于本研究的大多数国家和指数而言,该比率对股权总价值或股票市场指数的未来变化具有较高的预测能力。我还检查了每个股票市场价格指数的样本内和样本外的比率预测,并分析了比率与指数之间线性回归线的第一个积分函数的形状和值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Equity to Financial Liabilities Ratio and Annualized Ten-Year Change of Total Equity or Equity Market Price Index
In this paper, I show that the relationship between equity to financial liabilities ratio of Finland, Sweden, Norway, Germany, France, United Kingdom, Spain, Italy, United States and Eurozone and annualized ten-year forward change of total value of equity of the country or corresponding equity market price index is linear and that the ratio has, for most of the countries and indices of this study, high predictive power on the future change of total value of equity or equity market index. I also examine the in-the-sample and out-of-the-sample forecasts of the ratio for every equity market price index and analyze the shape and values of the first integral function of the linear regression line between the ratio and the index.
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