尼日利亚商业银行信用风险管理与次标贷款:面板数据分析

Anele Andrew Nwosi, Akani Elfreda Nwakaego
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摘要

本研究考察了信用风险管理对尼日利亚上市商业银行次级贷款组合的影响。横断面数据来源于2009-2018年商业银行财务报表和尼日利亚中央银行统计公报。以亚标准投资组合为因变量,银行风险分散、巴塞尔风险合规性、风险转移为自变量。采用面板数据法,在5%显著性水平下采用固定效应模型作为估计技术。对固定效应、随机效应和汇总估计进行了检验,并使用Hausman检验来确定最佳拟合。本研究采用面板单位根分析和面板协整分析。实证结果证明,41.7%的次标贷款组合变化可以用信用风险管理来解释。从随机效应结果来看,银行风险转移和巴塞尔合规与次标贷款组合呈正相关,而风险银行风险分散与商业银行次标贷款组合呈负相关。建议商业银行管理层积极主动,制定有效的信贷风险管理措施,减少不良贷款的发生。货币管理当局应监测商业银行的巴塞尔履约率和信贷风险管理政策
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Credit Risk Management and Sub-Standard Loans of Commercial Banks in Nigeria: A Panel Data Analysis
This study examined the effect of credit risk management on sub-standard loan portfolio of quoted commercial banks in Nigeria. Cross sectional data was sourced from financial statement of commercial banks and Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical bulletin from 2009-2018. Sub-standard portfolio was used as dependent variable while bank risk diversification, Basel risk compliance, risk transfer were used as independent variables. Panel data methodology was employed while the fixed effects model was used as estimation technique at 5% level of significance. Fixed effects, random effects and pooled estimates were tested while the Hausman test was used to determine the best fit. Panel unit roots and panel cointegration analysis were conducted on the study.   The empirical results proved that 41.7 per cent variations in the sub-sub-standard loans’ portfolio   was explained by credit risk management. From the random effect results, bank risk transfer and Basel compliance have positive relationship with sub-standard loan portfolio while risk bank risk diversification have negative relationship with sub-stand ad loan portfolio of the commercial banks.  We recommend that management of the commercial banks should be pro-active and devise effective measures of managing credit risk to reduce the incidence of sub-standard loans.  The monetary authority should monitor the Basel compliance rate and policies of the commercial banks to credit risk management
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