用利率和货币供应量方法分析货币政策指标对亚齐省通货膨胀的影响

Leli Putri Ansari
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摘要

自2005年以来,印度尼西亚银行作为金融管理局实施了货币政策框架,其主要目标是保持通货膨胀率符合政府规定。用于实现这些目标的货币政策指标是利率和货币供应量方法,其中印度尼西亚银行可以选择货币政策指标之一。本研究的目的是分析货币政策与利率和货币供应量的方法对亚齐通货膨胀的影响。这种分析使用利率和货币供应量作为自变量,而通货膨胀作为因变量。使用的研究方法是定量的二手数据的形式。数据分析模型采用多元线性回归。研究结果表明,利率取向的货币政策对通货膨胀有显著影响,且与通货膨胀呈正相关。这意味着,如果利率上升,通货膨胀率就高,反之亦然,如果利率下降,通货膨胀率就低。利率和通货膨胀之间的关系应该是负的。此外,货币供给方式的货币政策对通货膨胀的影响显著且呈负相关。这意味着,如果货币供应量高,那么通货膨胀率就低,反之,如果货币供应量少,那么通货膨胀率就高。因此,印尼央行最好选择货币供应量方法的货币政策指标,以达到保持通货膨胀率的目标
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Effect of Monetary Policy Indicators Analysis by Using Interest Rate and Money Supply Approach to the Inflation in Aceh
Since 2005, Bank Indonesia as the Monetary Authority has implemented a monetary policy framework whose main objective is to maintain inflation rate in line with the stipulated by the government. The monetary policy indicators used to achieve these objectives are the interest rate and money supply approaches, in which Bank Indonesia can choose one of the indicators of the monetary policy. The purpose of this study is to analyze how the influence of monetary policy with the approach of interest rates and money supply to the inflation in Aceh. This analysis uses interest rates and money supply as an independent variable, while inflation as a dependent variable. The research method used is quantitative in the form of secondary data. The data analysis model uses multiple linear regression. The results obtained that the monetary policy with the interest rate approach has a significant effect and the relationship is positive to inflation. This means that if interest rates rise then inflation is high, and vice versa if interest rates fall then inflation is low. it should be the relationship between interest rates with inflation is negative. Furthermore, monetary policy with money supply approach has a significant effect and negative relation to inflation. This means that if the money supply is high, then the inflation is low, and vice versa if money supply is little then the inflation is high. Therefore, it is better for Bank Indonesia to choose monetary policy indicator with money supply approach in order to achieve the target to keep inflation rate as determined by the
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