{"title":"伯努利、蒙蒙特和瓦德格拉夫讨论的概率中的勒赫和其他问题","authors":"D. Bellhouse, Nicolas Fillion","doi":"10.1214/14-STS469","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Part V of the second edition of Pierre R\\'{e}mond de Montmort's Essay d'analyse sur les jeux de hazard published in 1713 contains correspondence on probability problems between Montmort and Nicolaus Bernoulli. This correspondence begins in 1710. The last published letter, dated November 15, 1713, is from Montmort to Nicolaus Bernoulli. There is some discussion of the strategy of play in the card game Le Her and a bit of news that Montmort's friend Waldegrave in Paris was going to take care of the printing of the book. From earlier correspondence between Bernoulli and Montmort, it is apparent that Waldegrave had also analyzed Le Her and had come up with a mixed strategy as a solution. He had also suggested working on the \"problem of the pool,\" or what is often called Waldegrave's problem. The Universit\\\"{a}tsbibliothek Basel contains an additional forty-two letters between Bernoulli and Montmort written after 1713, as well as two letters between Bernoulli and Waldegrave. The letters are all in French, and here we provide translations of key passages. The trio continued to discuss probability problems, particularly Le Her which was still under discussion when the Essay d'analyse went to print. We describe the probability content of this body of correspondence and put it in its historical context. We also provide a proper identification of Waldegrave based on manuscripts in the Archives nationales de France in Paris.","PeriodicalId":413623,"journal":{"name":"arXiv: Other Statistics","volume":"13 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2015-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"6","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Le Her and Other Problems in Probability Discussed by Bernoulli, Montmort and Waldegrave\",\"authors\":\"D. Bellhouse, Nicolas Fillion\",\"doi\":\"10.1214/14-STS469\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Part V of the second edition of Pierre R\\\\'{e}mond de Montmort's Essay d'analyse sur les jeux de hazard published in 1713 contains correspondence on probability problems between Montmort and Nicolaus Bernoulli. This correspondence begins in 1710. The last published letter, dated November 15, 1713, is from Montmort to Nicolaus Bernoulli. There is some discussion of the strategy of play in the card game Le Her and a bit of news that Montmort's friend Waldegrave in Paris was going to take care of the printing of the book. From earlier correspondence between Bernoulli and Montmort, it is apparent that Waldegrave had also analyzed Le Her and had come up with a mixed strategy as a solution. He had also suggested working on the \\\"problem of the pool,\\\" or what is often called Waldegrave's problem. The Universit\\\\\\\"{a}tsbibliothek Basel contains an additional forty-two letters between Bernoulli and Montmort written after 1713, as well as two letters between Bernoulli and Waldegrave. The letters are all in French, and here we provide translations of key passages. The trio continued to discuss probability problems, particularly Le Her which was still under discussion when the Essay d'analyse went to print. We describe the probability content of this body of correspondence and put it in its historical context. We also provide a proper identification of Waldegrave based on manuscripts in the Archives nationales de France in Paris.\",\"PeriodicalId\":413623,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"arXiv: Other Statistics\",\"volume\":\"13 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2015-02-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"6\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"arXiv: Other Statistics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1214/14-STS469\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"arXiv: Other Statistics","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1214/14-STS469","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 6
摘要
1713年出版的Pierre R ' e}mond de montmont 's Essay d'analyse sur les jeux de hazard第二版的第五部分包含了montmont和Nicolaus Bernoulli之间关于概率问题的通信。这封书信开始于1710年。最后一封公开的信是1713年11月15日蒙蒙特写给尼古拉斯·伯努利的。书中有一些关于纸牌游戏“乐和”的策略的讨论,还有一些关于蒙特在巴黎的朋友瓦德格拉夫将负责这本书的印刷的消息。从伯努利和蒙特蒙特之间的早期通信中可以看出,瓦德格拉夫也分析了勒赫,并提出了一个混合策略作为解决方案。他还建议研究“水池问题”,也就是通常所说的瓦德格拉夫问题。巴塞尔大学图书馆还收藏了伯努利和蒙特蒙特在1713年之后写的另外42封信,以及伯努利和瓦德格拉夫之间的两封信。这些信件都是用法语写的,这里我们提供了关键段落的翻译。三人继续讨论概率问题,特别是在《分析论文》出版时仍在讨论的勒赫。我们描述了这个通信体的概率内容,并把它放在历史背景中。我们还根据巴黎法国国家档案馆的手稿提供了瓦德格拉夫的适当鉴定。
Le Her and Other Problems in Probability Discussed by Bernoulli, Montmort and Waldegrave
Part V of the second edition of Pierre R\'{e}mond de Montmort's Essay d'analyse sur les jeux de hazard published in 1713 contains correspondence on probability problems between Montmort and Nicolaus Bernoulli. This correspondence begins in 1710. The last published letter, dated November 15, 1713, is from Montmort to Nicolaus Bernoulli. There is some discussion of the strategy of play in the card game Le Her and a bit of news that Montmort's friend Waldegrave in Paris was going to take care of the printing of the book. From earlier correspondence between Bernoulli and Montmort, it is apparent that Waldegrave had also analyzed Le Her and had come up with a mixed strategy as a solution. He had also suggested working on the "problem of the pool," or what is often called Waldegrave's problem. The Universit\"{a}tsbibliothek Basel contains an additional forty-two letters between Bernoulli and Montmort written after 1713, as well as two letters between Bernoulli and Waldegrave. The letters are all in French, and here we provide translations of key passages. The trio continued to discuss probability problems, particularly Le Her which was still under discussion when the Essay d'analyse went to print. We describe the probability content of this body of correspondence and put it in its historical context. We also provide a proper identification of Waldegrave based on manuscripts in the Archives nationales de France in Paris.