研究货运和辅助收入对全服务航空公司净利润的影响

Onur Bas, T. Aksoy
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究以三家全服务航空公司(土耳其航空、美国航空、达美航空)为例,考察了航空公司货运收入、辅助收入和净盈利能力之间的关系。在方法上,采用对数计量模型,其中货物收入和辅助收入作为自变量,净利润作为因变量。2014年第一季度至2019年第四季度的数据来自相关航空公司官方网站和国际航空运输协会(IATA)的年度报告。数据分析使用了最现代的计量经济学分析程序EViews 10和STATA-15版本,可以用来控制平稳性。除计量经济分析和一般统计外,还进行了Cross Section依赖检验、CADF二代单位根检验、Delta斜率齐性检验、Panel协整分析、Westerlund Panel协整检验、Dumitrescu Hurlin Panel因果检验和Breusch Pagan LM检验。研究发现,货运收入、辅助收入与净利润之间存在协整关系,货运收入与净利润、辅助收入与净利润之间存在单向因果关系。该研究还表明,货运收入与辅助收入和净利润之间呈正相关关系。换句话说,货运收入和辅助收入对航空公司的净利润有积极的影响。此外,研究发现,航空辅助收入为航空公司提供了重要的资源;此外,在货物和辅助收入方面,两家美国公司位居全球收入最高的前三名;数据还显示,土耳其航空的辅助收入低于这两家美国公司。另一方面,研究表明,土耳其航空货运收入对净利润的贡献远高于其他两家公司。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Examining the impact of cargo and ancillary revenues on net profit for full service carrier airlines
In this study, the relationships between cargo revenues, ancillary revenues and net profitability of airline companies were examined in the examples of three full-service airline companies (Turkish Airlines, American Airlines, Delta Air Lines). Methodologically, a logarithmic econometric model was used in which cargo revenues and ancillary revenues were included as independent variables and net profit as the dependent variables. The data used for the period 2014Q1-2019Q4 were collected from the annual reports on the official websites of related airline companies and The International Air Transport Association (IATA). EViews 10 and STATA-15 versions, which are the most modern econometric analysis programs that can be used to control the stationarity, were used in the analysis of the data. In addition to econometric analyzes and general statistics, Cross Section dependency tests, CADF second-generation unit root tests, Delta slope homogeneity tests, Panel cointegration analysis, Westerlund Panel cointegration tests and Dumitrescu Hurlin Panel Causality tests and Breusch Pagan LM Tests were also performed. The study revealed that there is cointegration between cargo revenues, ancillary revenues and net profit, and there is a one-way causality relationship from both cargo revenues to net profit and from ancillary revenues to net profit. The study also indicated a positive correlation between cargo revenues and ancillary revenues and net profit. In other words, cargo revenues and ancillary revenues have a positive effect on the net profit of airline companies. In addition, the study found that aviation ancillary revenues provide an important resource for airline companies; furthermore, two US companies are among the top three companies with the highest revenues in the world in terms of cargo and ancillary revenues; also showed that Turkish Airlines' ancillary revenues are lower than those of these two US companies. On the other hand, the study showed that the contribution of Turkish Airlines cargo revenues to net profit is much higher than the other two companies.
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