我们在路上:按需叫车系统分析

Guiyun Feng, Guangwen Kong, Zizhuo Wang
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引用次数: 102

摘要

问题定义:最近,优步(Uber)和滴滴(Didi)等按需叫车平台迅速崛起,这些平台允许乘客用智能手机提交出行请求,并根据他们的位置和司机的可用性将其匹配给司机。这种不断增长的需求引发了这样一个问题:这种新的匹配机制将如何影响交通系统的效率——特别是,与传统的叫车系统相比,它是否有助于减少乘客的平均等待时间。学术/实践相关性:网约车问题最近引起了学术界的极大兴趣。我们发现,网约车系统的结果与经典排队理论有很大的偏差,其中路线时间不起作用。方法:本文通过建立一个程式化的环形道路模型,比较不同匹配机制下乘客的平均等待时间,来阐明这一问题。结果:我们发现在路途时间较长的情况下,网约车系统的效率低下,这可能导致乘客平均等待时间随着乘客到达率的增加而呈现非单调性。在确定了不同机制之间的关键权衡后,我们发现,当系统利用水平中等且道路长度较长时,按需匹配机制的效率可能低于传统的叫车机制。管理意义:为了克服这两个系统的缺点,我们进一步建议在按需叫车机制中添加响应上限,并开发了一种启发式方法来计算接近最优的上限。我们还研究了乘客遗弃、出租车空闲时间策略和交通拥堵对叫车系统性能的影响。这项研究的结果将有助于理解新服务范式的权衡,从而使政策制定者在为这种新兴服务范式制定法规时能够做出更明智的决策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
We are on the Way: Analysis of On-Demand Ride-Hailing Systems
Problem definition: Recently, there has been a rapid rise of on-demand ride-hailing platforms, such as Uber and Didi, which allow passengers with smartphones to submit trip requests and match them to drivers based on their locations and drivers’ availability. This increased demand has raised questions about how such a new matching mechanism will affect the efficiency of the transportation system—in particular, whether it will help reduce passengers’ average waiting time compared with traditional street-hailing systems. Academic/practical relevance: The on-demand ride-hailing problem has gained much academic interest recently. The results we find in the ride-hailing system have a significant deviation from classic queueing theory where en route time does not play a role. Methodology: In this paper, we shed light on this question by building a stylized model of a circular road and comparing the average waiting times of passengers under various matching mechanisms. Results: We discover the inefficiency in the on-demand ride-hailing system when the en route time is long, which may result in nonmonotonicity of passengers’ average waiting time as the passenger arrival rate increases. After identifying key trade-offs between different mechanisms, we find that the on-demand matching mechanism could result in lower efficiency than the traditional street-hailing mechanism when the system utilization level is medium and the road length is long. Managerial implications: To overcome the disadvantage of both systems, we further propose adding response caps to the on-demand ride-hailing mechanism and develop a heuristic method to calculate a near-optimal cap. We also examine the impact of passenger abandonments, idle time strategies of taxis, and traffic congestion on the performance of the ride-hailing systems. The results of this research would be instrumental for understanding the trade-offs of the new service paradigm and thus enable policy makers to make more informed decisions when enacting regulations for this emerging service paradigm.
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