分析配电系统设备测试的价值

R. Fancher, A. Hulse
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文探讨了理解将无损检测技术应用于普通配电设备所获得的经济价值的概念。以配电所地下逃逸电缆的测试为例,说明了这一概念。使用马尔可夫链模型,作者定量评估电缆故障的影响(包括直接成本和中断影响),电缆故障的可能性,电缆测试的结果(包括假阴性和假阳性)和测试的成本。利用这些信息,本文展示了测试的准确性如何影响测试是值得投资的时候,以及相反地,当测试的成本超过获得的实际收益的时候。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analyzing the value of equipment testing in a power distribution system
This paper explores the concepts of understanding the economic value gained from applying nondestructive testing techniques to common power distribution equipment. The concept is illustrated using a case study example of testing underground getaway cables at distribution voltage substations. Using a Markov chain model, the authors quantitatively evaluate the impacts of cable failure (both direct cost and outage impacts), the likelihood of cable failure, the results of cable testing (including both false negatives and false positives) and the costs of testing. Using this information, the paper shows how the accuracy of the test can influence when testing is a worthwhile investment and, conversely, when the costs of testing outweigh the actual benefits that are gained.
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