基于SPSS的强奸刑实证分析

Yue Liu, Zhou Xu
{"title":"基于SPSS的强奸刑实证分析","authors":"Yue Liu, Zhou Xu","doi":"10.1145/3520084.3520114","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"As an ancient natural crime, rape is a serious violation of the sexual autonomy of the women victims and has always been a key target of the judicial authorities in China. A standardised and reasonable sentence for the crime of rape can help safeguard the legal rights of women as well as maintain social harmony and stability. This paper investigates the sentence decisions of 341 cases of rape defendants heard by the basic people's courts in Zhejiang Province from 2017 to 2021, selecting 24 types of sentence influencing factors such as type of behaviour, defendant's mental condition ,defendant's age and so on, considering the effect of factors influencing the term of a fixed-term imprisonment and the application of probation and establishing a linear prediction model for a fixed-term imprisonment and a logistic prediction model for the application of probation. After examining the various factors influencing sentencing, it was found that the current degree of standardization of sentencing for rape is high, but there are problems such as insufficient protection for special groups such as young girls and mentally ill people, and low correlation between aggravated outcomes and sentencing, so the Supreme People's Court should further refine the sentencing guidance applicable to the whole country and make reasonable improvements","PeriodicalId":444957,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the 2022 5th International Conference on Software Engineering and Information Management","volume":"161 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2022-01-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"An Empirical Analysis of Rape Sentence Based on SPSS\",\"authors\":\"Yue Liu, Zhou Xu\",\"doi\":\"10.1145/3520084.3520114\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"As an ancient natural crime, rape is a serious violation of the sexual autonomy of the women victims and has always been a key target of the judicial authorities in China. A standardised and reasonable sentence for the crime of rape can help safeguard the legal rights of women as well as maintain social harmony and stability. This paper investigates the sentence decisions of 341 cases of rape defendants heard by the basic people's courts in Zhejiang Province from 2017 to 2021, selecting 24 types of sentence influencing factors such as type of behaviour, defendant's mental condition ,defendant's age and so on, considering the effect of factors influencing the term of a fixed-term imprisonment and the application of probation and establishing a linear prediction model for a fixed-term imprisonment and a logistic prediction model for the application of probation. After examining the various factors influencing sentencing, it was found that the current degree of standardization of sentencing for rape is high, but there are problems such as insufficient protection for special groups such as young girls and mentally ill people, and low correlation between aggravated outcomes and sentencing, so the Supreme People's Court should further refine the sentencing guidance applicable to the whole country and make reasonable improvements\",\"PeriodicalId\":444957,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Proceedings of the 2022 5th International Conference on Software Engineering and Information Management\",\"volume\":\"161 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-01-21\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Proceedings of the 2022 5th International Conference on Software Engineering and Information Management\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1145/3520084.3520114\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Proceedings of the 2022 5th International Conference on Software Engineering and Information Management","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3520084.3520114","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

强奸作为一种古老的自然犯罪,严重侵犯了受害妇女的性自主权,一直是中国司法机关的重点打击对象。规范合理的强奸罪量刑有利于维护妇女的合法权益,也有利于维护社会和谐稳定。本文对浙江省基层人民法院2017 - 2021年审理的341起强奸罪被告人的量刑决定进行了调查,选取了行为类型、被告人精神状况、被告人年龄等24种影响量刑的因素,考虑影响有期徒刑刑期和缓刑适用的因素的影响,建立有期徒刑的线性预测模型和缓刑适用的逻辑预测模型。在考察影响量刑的各种因素后发现,目前我国强奸罪量刑规范化程度较高,但存在对未成年少女、精神病患者等特殊群体保护力度不够、加重结果与量刑相关性较低等问题,最高人民法院应进一步细化适用于全国的量刑指南,并进行合理改进
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Empirical Analysis of Rape Sentence Based on SPSS
As an ancient natural crime, rape is a serious violation of the sexual autonomy of the women victims and has always been a key target of the judicial authorities in China. A standardised and reasonable sentence for the crime of rape can help safeguard the legal rights of women as well as maintain social harmony and stability. This paper investigates the sentence decisions of 341 cases of rape defendants heard by the basic people's courts in Zhejiang Province from 2017 to 2021, selecting 24 types of sentence influencing factors such as type of behaviour, defendant's mental condition ,defendant's age and so on, considering the effect of factors influencing the term of a fixed-term imprisonment and the application of probation and establishing a linear prediction model for a fixed-term imprisonment and a logistic prediction model for the application of probation. After examining the various factors influencing sentencing, it was found that the current degree of standardization of sentencing for rape is high, but there are problems such as insufficient protection for special groups such as young girls and mentally ill people, and low correlation between aggravated outcomes and sentencing, so the Supreme People's Court should further refine the sentencing guidance applicable to the whole country and make reasonable improvements
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信