农业出口品种及其对农业出口的短期和长期影响

Tudorel Andrei, B. Oancea, Andreea Mirica
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在本文中,我们调查了加入欧盟对增加两个东欧国家,即罗马尼亚和保加利亚的农业食品类别出口品种的影响程度。我们还评估了这两个国家的农产品出口种类的变化对农产品出口量动态的影响,并使用熵来衡量按类别出口的农产品的可变性。结果证实了相关品种在增加一个国家的农产品长期出口中发挥的重要作用,并表明出口高度集中在少数类别的农产品上,其中大部分是农业原料,不能确保罗马尼亚农产品出口的可持续增长。就保加利亚而言,相关品种对确保农业食品出口的可持续增长具有积极影响。加入欧盟是罗马尼亚农产品出口增加的一个重要因素,而就保加利亚而言,加入欧盟并没有对农产品出口量产生积极或消极的冲击。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Agriculture export variety and the short and long run impact on agriculture export
In this paper, we investigated the extent to which the accession to the EU has had an effect on increasing the variety of exports of agri-food categories for two Eastern European countries, namely Romania and Bulgaria. We also assessed the impact of changes in the variety of exports of agri-food categories on the dynamics of the volume of exports of agri-food products for these two countries and used the entropy to measure the variability of exports of agri-food products by categories. The results confirm the important role played by related variety in increasing a country's long-term exports of agri-food products and show that the high concentration of exports on a small number of categories of agri-food products that include mostly agricultural raw materials cannot ensure a sustainable increase in the export of agri-food products for Romania. In the case of Bulgaria, the related variety has a positive impact on ensuring a sustainable increase in agri-food exports. The accession to the EU was an important factor for the increase of the exported agri-food goods for Romania while in the case of Bulgaria, the accession to the EU did not mark a positive or negative shock on the volume of exports of agri-food products.
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