巴基斯坦女性失业持续时间——生存分析

GulRukh Zahid, A. Fatima
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摘要

与邻国相比,巴基斯坦的女性失业率非常高。先前可获得的文献的发现得出的结论是,长时间不进入劳动力市场导致女性再次找到工作的可能性更低;与男性相比,这种可能性更低。这项研究调查了失业状况及其持续时间,迫使妇女退出巴基斯坦的劳动力队伍。劳动力市场中女性不活动率较高的原因有很多。一些例子是低教育水平,较高的年龄,家庭责任,如照顾老人和孩子,配偶的工作状况,婚姻状况,以及无法获得工作相关的知识。尽管在巴基斯坦的案例中,文献显示了女性失业率较高的许多原因,但它并没有关注时间估计,也没有以天或月为单位计算女性失业后需要多长时间才能重新找到工作。更具体地说,决定失业的那些方面是无法获得的。通过使用2014-15年劳动力调查(LFS)来源的劳动力市场和社会经济变量数据,进行Kaplan-Meier生存分析来评估研究。这项研究可以帮助政策制定者弄清楚女性失业的持续时间,这在巴基斯坦的女性劳动力市场中很普遍。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Female Unemployment Duration in Pakistan – A Survival Analysis
Female unemployment in Pakistan is very high in contrast to its neighboring countries. The finding of previously available literature concludes that staying out of the labour market for longer durations causes a lower possibility of getting a job again and for females; the probability is even lower compared to males. This study examines the unemployment situation and its duration, forcing females to drop out of Pakistan's labour force. Numerous factors are accountable for the higher inactivity rate of females in the labour market. Some examples are low education level, higher age, home responsibilities such as taking care of elders and children, spouse job status, marital status, and non-availability of job-specific knowledge. Although in the case of Pakistan, literature shows many causes of higher inactivity of female unemployment, it does not focus on the time estimations and calculate it in days or months to figure out how long a female take to get back on a job once she becomes unemployed. More specifically, the aspects which determine unemployment are unavailable. Kaplan-Meier Survival analysis has been performed to assess the research by employing the data on the labour market and socio-economic variables from the Labour Force Survey (LFS) source of 2014-15. This study can help policymakers to figure out the duration of female unemployment, prevalent in the labour market for females in Pakistan.
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