{"title":"基于矩阵草图的神经网络预测区间的可扩展计算","authors":"A. Fishkov, Maxim Panov","doi":"10.48550/arXiv.2205.03194","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":". Accounting for the uncertainty in the predictions of modern neural networks is a challenging and important task in many do-mains. Existing algorithms for uncertainty estimation require modify-ing the model architecture and training procedure (e.g., Bayesian neural networks) or dramatically increase the computational cost of predictions such as approaches based on ensembling. This work proposes a new algorithm that can be applied to a given trained neural network and produces approximate prediction intervals. The method is based on the classical delta method in statistics but achieves computational efficiency by using matrix sketching to approximate the Jacobian matrix. The resulting algorithm is competitive with state-of-the-art approaches for constructing predictive intervals on various regression datasets from the UCI repository.","PeriodicalId":350447,"journal":{"name":"International Joint Conference on the Analysis of Images, Social Networks and Texts","volume":"45 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2022-05-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Scalable computation of prediction intervals for neural networks via matrix sketching\",\"authors\":\"A. Fishkov, Maxim Panov\",\"doi\":\"10.48550/arXiv.2205.03194\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\". Accounting for the uncertainty in the predictions of modern neural networks is a challenging and important task in many do-mains. Existing algorithms for uncertainty estimation require modify-ing the model architecture and training procedure (e.g., Bayesian neural networks) or dramatically increase the computational cost of predictions such as approaches based on ensembling. This work proposes a new algorithm that can be applied to a given trained neural network and produces approximate prediction intervals. The method is based on the classical delta method in statistics but achieves computational efficiency by using matrix sketching to approximate the Jacobian matrix. The resulting algorithm is competitive with state-of-the-art approaches for constructing predictive intervals on various regression datasets from the UCI repository.\",\"PeriodicalId\":350447,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Joint Conference on the Analysis of Images, Social Networks and Texts\",\"volume\":\"45 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-05-06\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Joint Conference on the Analysis of Images, Social Networks and Texts\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2205.03194\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Joint Conference on the Analysis of Images, Social Networks and Texts","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2205.03194","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Scalable computation of prediction intervals for neural networks via matrix sketching
. Accounting for the uncertainty in the predictions of modern neural networks is a challenging and important task in many do-mains. Existing algorithms for uncertainty estimation require modify-ing the model architecture and training procedure (e.g., Bayesian neural networks) or dramatically increase the computational cost of predictions such as approaches based on ensembling. This work proposes a new algorithm that can be applied to a given trained neural network and produces approximate prediction intervals. The method is based on the classical delta method in statistics but achieves computational efficiency by using matrix sketching to approximate the Jacobian matrix. The resulting algorithm is competitive with state-of-the-art approaches for constructing predictive intervals on various regression datasets from the UCI repository.