基于支持向量机的水质预测方法研究

Jian Cao, Hongsheng Hu, S. Qian, Gongbiao Yan
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引用次数: 2

摘要

为了改善和保护人类环境,必须对水资源进行有效的监测和管理。支持向量机(SVM)是一种基于结构风险最小化原理的算法,具有很高的泛化能力。该方法对小样本、非线性、高维问题具有较强的解决能力。本文在借鉴国内外大量水质预测方法研究成果的基础上,提出了一种基于支持向量机的水质预测方法,并建立了基于时间序列支持向量机的水质多分类预测模型。采用水质预测方法对太湖水质进行了针对性研究。其SVM模型的正确率可达84.62%,bp神经网络(back-propagation neutral network, BPNN)模型的正确率为80.77%。仿真结果表明,其训练速度和测试精度均高于反向传播神经网络。实验结果表明,基于支持向量机的水质预测模型能够正确预测其水质等级,为水质预测提供了一种新的途径。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Research on the water quality forecast method based on SVM
In order to improve and protect human being's environment, water resource should be effectively monitored and managed. The support vector machine (SVM) is an algorithm based on structure risk minimizing principle and having high generalization ability. It is strong to solve the problem with small sample, nonlinear and high dimension. In this paper, based on a lot of research fruits of water quality forecast methods at home and abroad, a water forecast method based on support vector machine is put forward, and a water quality multi-classification forecasting model based on time sequence's SVM is established. Its water quality of Tai Lake is aimed and researched by the forecast method of water quality. Its correct rate of SVM model can reach 84.62%, its correct rate of back-propagation neutral network (BPNN) model is 80.77%. The simulation results have proved that its training speed and testing accuracy of SVM are higher than back-propagation neutral network. From the experimental result, the water quality forecast model based on SVM can correctly predict its grade of water quality and provide a new way for forecast of water quality.
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