冰质量平衡不稳定与气候变化引起的海平面上升——一个评估

Chakraborty Sudipta, A. Kambekar, Sarma Arnab
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引用次数: 0

摘要

从关于气候变化的影响和由此导致的海平面上升的文献中发现,用于估计海平面上升的假设情景受到许多质疑。不同科学家团队的预测和IPCC预测的实时数据并不总是一致的,而且大多是不同的。由于目前冰盖不可预测的行为,预计迄今为止考虑的以数学和统计方法为基础的各种模型将经历不可预见的变化。关于南极本身对海平面上升的贡献的研究预测了不同预估的突然变化,因此,本文强调了详细研究海冰不稳定性的重要性。与MISI和MICI有关的现象已经得到强调,以便对未来几十年和几个世纪的海平面上升作出更正确的预测。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Instability of Ice Mass Balance and Climate Change Induced Sea Level Rise-An Appraisal
It is found from literature on impact of changes in climate and the resultant rise in sea level, that the scenarios, which are presumed for estimating the rise in Sea Level are stranded on a lot of doubts. Projections by different teams of scientists and real time data from IPCC's predictions do not always match and mostly rather differ. Various models so far considered, grounded on mathematical and statistical methods are anticipated to experience unforeseen variation due to the present unpredictable behaviour of the ice sheets. Studies about the contribution from Antarctica itself towards rise in Sea Level predicts abrupt variations in different projections and accordingly the importance of detailed study on Marine Ice Instability has been highlighted in this paper. The phenomenon related to MISI and MICI has been stressed upon to arrive at more correct projections on Sea Level Rise in coming decades and centuries.
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