企业碳核查数据的真实性与不确定度分析

Zhang Bo, Lv Bin, Duan Yuqing, Tang Liang, You Jia
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目前,在中国的碳交易过程中,存在着从业者利用各种手段伪造、篡改数据结果,故意夸大碳减排以获取政府额外奖励的违法现象。因此,本文将使用能量平衡表计算碳,并通过建立方程分析热值、碳含量、碳氧化率和电力排放因子对总碳排放的影响。结果表明,热值、含碳量和碳氧化率的变化对总碳排放量的计算有显著影响,而电力排放因素的影响不显著。因此,为了获得基于能量平衡表的准确排放数据,必须首先对能量平衡表进行调整,然后根据具体的区域差异,完善碳排放的地理和时间边界以及数据处理方法的真实性,对中国碳验证方法的不确定性计算方法进行深入探讨,并对数据真实性的Wilcoxon符号秩检验进行比较分析。最后,通过对某化工企业碳排放数据的分析,验证了本文方法的有效性和可行性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Authenticity and uncertainty analysis of enterprise carbon verification data
At present, in the process of carbon trading in China, there is an illegal phenomenon that practitioners use various means to falsify and tamper with data results, deliberately exaggerate carbon emissions reductions to obtain additional government incentives. Therefore, this paper will use the energy balance table to calculate carbon, and analyze the impact of calorific value, carbon content, carbon oxidation rate and power emission factors on the total carbon emissions by establishing equations. The results show that the changes of calorific value, carbon content and carbon oxidation rate have a significant impact on the calculation of total carbon emissions, while the impact of power emission factors is not significant. Therefore, in order to obtain accurate emission data based on the energy balance table, we must first adjust the energy balance table, and then improve the geographical and temporal boundaries of carbon emissions and the authenticity of data processing methods according to specific regional differences, carry out in-depth discussion on the uncertainty calculation method of China's carbon verification method, and analyze the comparison of Wilcoxon's sign rank test for the authenticity of data. Finally, the effectiveness and feasibility of the method described in this paper are verified by analyzing the carbon emission data of a chemical enterprise.
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