生产计划与控制中认知偏差的影响:考虑人为因素的决策支持系统设计

J. Bendul, Melanie Zahner
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引用次数: 2

摘要

生产计划和控制(PPC)需要人类在生产计划计划、生产数据管理和绩效测量等几个过程步骤中做出决策。因此,人类的决策往往是有偏见的,导致物流绩效恶化。前置时间综合症(LTS)就是一个典型的例子。虽然生产计划人员的目标是通过更新计划的交货时间来提高交货日期的可靠性,但结果实际上是交货日期可靠性的降低。在目前生产物流领域的研究中,认知偏差对生产计划和控制决策过程的影响一直处于一个沉默的位置。本文通过对行为运营管理和认知偏差的系统文献综述,结合钢铁行业的案例研究,展示认知偏差对人类生产计划决策的影响以及对物流绩效的影响,以期弥补这一研究空白。结果是定义了考虑人类行为的指导方针,用于设计决策支持系统以提高物流绩效。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Influence of Cognitive Biases in Production Planning and Control: Considering the Human Factor for the Design of Decision Support Systems
Production planning and control (PPC) requires human decision-making in several process steps like production program planning, production data management, and performance measurement. Thereby, human decisions are often biased leading to an aggravation of logistic performance. Exemplary, the lead time syndrome (LTS) shows this connection. While production planners aim to improve due date reliability by updating planned lead times, the result is actually a decreasing due date reliability. In current research in the field of production logistics, the impact of cognitive biases on the decision-making process in production planning and control remains at a silent place. We aim to close this research gap by combining a systematic literature review on behavioral operation management and cognitive biases with a case study from the steel industry to show the influence of cognitive biases on human decision-making in production planning and the impact on logistic performance. The result is the definition of guidelines considering human behavior for the design of decision support systems to improve logistic performance.
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