印度应该远离第四次革命吗?

G. Agrawal
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引用次数: 1

摘要

第四次工业革命的批评者提出了许多担忧,主要是失业和不平等加剧。本文通过强调如何在第一次工业革命时期提出同样的担忧来揭穿这些担忧。然后,我们从我们的历史知识中看到后来发生了什么。然后,我们继续研究为什么事情会以这种方式展开,并追溯人类行为的根源。这些因素仍然保持不变,因此我们有充分的理由期待,像前三次革命一样,第四次革命也将提高生产力,使我们所有人的生活更美好。任何失业最多只是暂时的。我们最后认为,无论她是否想要第四次,它都将影响印度及其受全球贸易和资本流动影响的经济。因此,现实中她唯一的选择就是做好准备,而不是回避。印度已经做好了从中受益的独特准备。为了将暂时的痛苦最小化,她所需要做的就是放宽商业法规——降低企业家雇佣劳动力的成本,因为基本的经济逻辑是,如果雇佣劳动力比雇佣机器贵,企业家就会雇佣机器,反之亦然。她必须做的另一件重要的事情是发展她的人力资源开发和激励创新。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Should India Stay Away from the Fourth Revolution?
Critics of the Fourth Industrial Revolution raise many concerns against it mainly alleging job losses and rise in inequality. This article debunks these concerns by emphasizing how the same concerns would have been raised at the time of the First Industrial Revolution as well. We then see what happened subsequently benefitting from our knowledge of history. We then go on to examine why things unfolded that way tracing the reasons to the very roots of human behavior. These factors still remain the same, therefore there is every reason to expect that like the previous three, the Fourth Revolution too would be a productivity enhancing one and make lives better for all of us. Any job losses would at best be transitory. We then finally argue that whether she wants the Fourth or not, it will impact India and her economy carried by global trade and capital flows. Thus the only option in reality for her is to prepare herself and not shun it. India is already uniquely poised to reap the benefits. All she needs to do to minimize the temporary pain is to ease out its business regulations – make it less costly for entrepreneurs to hire labor because it is basic economic logic that if hiring labor is more expensive than hiring machines, an entrepreneur will hire a machine and vice versa. Another critical thing she must do is to develop her human resource development and incentivize innovations.
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